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GSSolar Thermal - ElectricityKenyaAMS-II.I

GS5304 MKOPA Solar Lighting Programme of Activities - Kenya VPA 1

GS-1365 ↗ · current registry ID: GS5314

#41of 157 in Kenya#606of 1801 in Gold Standard (GS)#20of 72 in AMS-II.I

5.2/ 10
Integrity
5.5
Transparency
5.0
Claim Safety
4.5
Documentation
6.0

Audit Analysis

The M-KOPA Solar Lighting PoA in Kenya has a solid additionality foundation (VVB-confirmed investment test) and documented safeguards, but suffers from significant data gaps: no verified ERR figures, no FNRB value, no buffer pool, and reversal events left unaddressed. The 28% gap between assumed (100%) and verified (71.6%) usage rates raises over-crediting concerns, and CORSIA eligibility without a stated CCP position creates dual-channel risk. Multiple contradictions across documents—particularly in ERR figures, monitoring method, and crediting period—reduce confidence in the data record.

Red Flags

  • Usage rate assumed at 100% but verified at only 71.6%, implying roughly 28% over-estimation of energy delivered per unit of generation
  • Reversal events explicitly 'not addressed' in the verification report and no buffer pool percentage stated, leaving permanence risk unquantified
  • CORSIA-eligible with CCP status not stated, creating potential dual-channel crediting risk
  • No verified ERR figure available in the extracted record, preventing any claimed-vs-verified comparison
  • Leakage treatment inconsistent across documents: 'deemed negligible' in the 2026 verification report versus 'not addressed' in the 2024 verification report

Credit Vintages

IssuedRetiredAvailable
2016
9,8749,8740
2017
36,92436,9240
2018
49,73749,7370
2019
49,97949,9790
2020
54,68354,6830
2021
54,68348,7225,961
2022
54,68311,73742,946
2023
20,146020,146
2024
17,282017,282
Total347,991261,65686,335

Risk Indicators

Additionality

VVB-confirmed investment test

Permanence

mixed evidence / unresolved risk

Leakage

Deemed negligible, inconsistent across docs

Baseline

Project-specific, no reassessment date

Safeguards

FPIC, grievance mechanism, benefit sharing

Double-claim

CORSIA-eligible, CCP status unknown

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Analysis ProvenanceScored2026-09-04AMS-III.AR

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