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GSSolar Thermal - ElectricityKenyaAMS-II.I

GS5304 MKOPA Solar Lighting Programme of Activities – Kenya VPA 4

GS-1368 ↗ · current registry ID: GS5317

#127of 157 in Kenya#1454of 1801 in Gold Standard (GS)#45of 72 in AMS-II.I

4.3/ 10
Integrity
4.5
Transparency
4.0
Claim Safety
4.0
Documentation
5.0

Audit Analysis

The M-KOPA Solar Lighting PoA (VPA 4) has a VVB-confirmed investment additionality test and documented safeguards, but suffers from significant gaps in permanence and leakage treatment, a 28% usage-rate over-estimation (assumed 1.0 vs. verified 0.7157), and no verified ERR figure available for cross-checking. Five inter-document contradictions further erode confidence in the data integrity of the credit claims.

Red Flags

  • Usage rate assumed at 100% in the monitoring report while the verified rate is only 71.57%, implying a ~28% over-crediting risk if the assumed rate drives the ERR calculation
  • Leakage is explicitly 'not addressed' with no deduction percentage stated, despite displaced users potentially reverting to kerosene or grid electricity
  • Reversal risk is 'not addressed' and no buffer pool percentage is stated, leaving solar panel failure, theft, or decommissioning unmitigated
  • Total ERR verified figure is absent from the extracted record, preventing independent cross-check of the 186,272 tCO₂e claimed
  • Five contradictions across documents (ERR figures, usage rate, crediting period, benefit sharing, monitoring method) indicate data reliability issues

Credit Vintages

IssuedRetiredAvailable
2017
72720
2018
11,44211,4420
2019
23,82623,8260
2020
52,36450,7281,636
2021
60,0003,69356,307
2022
60,00052,6997,301
2023
56,017056,017
2024
55,964055,964
Total319,685142,460177,225

Risk Indicators

Additionality

VVB-confirmed investment test

Permanence

mixed evidence / unresolved risk

Leakage

Not addressed, no deduction stated

Baseline

Project-specific, no reassessment date

Safeguards

FPIC, grievance mechanism, benefit sharing documented

Double-claim

CORSIA and CCP status not stated

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Analysis ProvenanceScored2026-09-04AMS-III.AR

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