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VCSEnergy demandSouth Africa Registry: RegisteredAMS-II.C

Recipe for Change Grouped Project

VCS-2384 ↗

#56of 59 in South Africa#1299of 1339 in Verra (VCS)#14of 14 in AMS-II.C

2.9/ 10
Integrity
3.2
Transparency
2.5
Claim Safety
3.0
Documentation
2.8

Audit Analysis

The Recipe for Change Grouped Project (Wonderbag heat-retention devices in South Africa) has confirmed additionality and quantified leakage, but is severely undermined by a fundamental methodology applicability question, a 31,622 tCO2e over-issuance due to duplicate serial numbers, repeated non-compliance with Forward Action Requests, and documentation that Verra explicitly found below satisfactory quality standards. The verified ERR for the 2023–2025 monitoring period (434,924 tCO2e) vastly exceeds the pro-rata ex-ante expectation, raising serious over-crediting concerns.

Red Flags

  • Over-issuance of 31,622 tCO2e identified due to 14,356 duplicate serial numbers in the Wonderbag database (verification report, 2026)
  • Methodology applicability fundamentally questioned: VVB noted Wonderbag is a heat-retention device, not a standard cookstove, casting doubt on AMS-II.C/II.G applicability
  • Verified ERR of 434,924 tCO2e is approximately 935% of the pro-rata ex-ante expectation (~46,500 tCO2e) for the elapsed monitoring period, indicating severe over-crediting risk
  • Multiple Forward Action Requests from prior verifications (2023 and 2024) remain unaddressed; Verra granted additional time and imposed a contingency requiring a revised methodology (e.g., VM0050) for future instances
  • Project documentation explicitly found to not meet satisfactory quality standards and to not comply with VCS Program rules (verification report, 2026)

Credit Vintages

IssuedRetiredAvailable
2019
126,587126,186401
2021
116,48545,72570,760
2022
184,298158,59025,708
2023
62,72660,0002,726
Total490,096390,50199,595

Risk Indicators

Additionality

VVB-confirmed investment test

Permanence

mixed evidence / unresolved risk

Leakage

5% quantified deduction (2024 VR)

Baseline

Project-specific; methodology applicability questioned

Safeguards

FPIC, grievance mechanism, benefit sharing documented

Double-claim

CORSIA and CCP status not stated

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Analysis ProvenanceScored2026-09-09AMS-II.C, AMS-II.G

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