Safe Water Programme – Kenya – VPA 39

Audit Analysis

The Safe Water Programme in Kenya has verified additionality and documented safeguards, but is undermined by multiple material findings (sampling methodology gaps, potential chlorine-tablet bias), a leakage deduction that dropped from 5% in the PDD to 0% in monitoring without clear justification, and nine cross-document contradictions that erode confidence in the reported figures. The project is in its early crediting period with corrective actions still open, making the current credit volume carry elevated over-crediting risk.

Project Description

Red Flags

• ⚠Multiple material findings (CAR#01, CAR#02, FAR#1, FAR#2) flag potential overestimation of emission reductions due to chlorine-tablet usage bias and non-compliant sampling methodology
• ⚠Leakage deduction reduced from 5% (PDD, 2020) to 0% (monitoring, 2024) with only a 'deemed negligible' justification — no quantitative re-assessment documented
• ⚠Reversal events are explicitly 'not addressed' and no buffer pool percentage is stated in any available document
• ⚠Nine contradictions across documents, including a 100× unit discrepancy in the FNRB value (93.51 vs 0.9351) and a shift in additionality test type from 'investment' (PDD) to 'combined' (validation)
• ⚠Usage monitoring method deviates from the PDD: stratified random sampling was proposed but annual surveys were actually used

Credit Vintages