Safe Water Programme – Kenya – VPA 41

Audit Analysis

The Safe Water Programme in Kenya has a VVB-confirmed investment additionality test and a reasonable monitoring framework, but is undermined by a material finding that actual emission reductions fall below ex-ante estimates, a 0% leakage deduction with no justification, 23 outstanding corrective actions, and multiple contradictions across verification reports. The exact match between claimed and verified ERR figures (1,023,164 tCO₂e) raises concerns about independent verification rigor.

Project Description

Red Flags

• ⚠Material finding in the 2024 verification report states actual emission reductions are lower than ex-ante estimates in the registered PDD, yet claimed and verified figures are identical at 1,023,164 tCO₂e
• ⚠Leakage deduction of 0% with justification recorded as 'not addressed' in the most recent (2024) verification report, contradicting an earlier 'deemed negligible' statement
• ⚠23 corrective actions remain outstanding, including sampling design non-compliance with CDM Appendix 3, potential systemic bias in chlorine tablet usage, and missing signed population confirmation letters
• ⚠FNRB method contradicts between reports: 'national_default' in the 2024 verification report versus 'local_field' in a 2022 document, with no clear resolution

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