23MW Bubunawan 2 Hydropower Project
#1472of 1935 in Renewable energy#14of 19 in Philippines#1218of 1459 in CDM (UNFCCC)#1124of 1287 in ACM0002
Audit Analysis
The 23 MW Bubunawan 2 hydro project in the Philippines has a VVB-verified combined additionality test and a jurisdictional baseline, but is undermined by a seven-fold discrepancy between the PDD and validation report on lifetime emissions reductions, thirteen material findings at validation, and a near-total absence of monitoring, permanence, and safeguards data in the extracted record. The project's crediting period (2015–2021) has already expired, and no verified monitoring results are available to confirm actual delivery.
Red Flags
- Seven-fold discrepancy in lifetime ERR: the PDD (Sep 2012) claims 534,100 tCO₂e while the validation report (Oct 2012) records only 76,300 tCO₂e — a factor-of-7 gap that cannot be explained by period differences and suggests a fundamental error in one of the two documents.
- Thirteen material findings (CARs) at validation, including inconsistent grid emission-factor data versus official sources, missing monitoring parameters, and a common-practice analysis that did not align with the additionality tool requirements.
- No buffer pool, no reversal-event record, and no monitoring-period data are present in the extracted record, leaving permanence and actual delivery entirely unverified.
- Low extraction confidence across the document set, meaning at least one key document was poorly readable and the completeness of the evidence base is uncertain.
Credit Vintages
No issuances recorded on the registry.
Risk Indicators
VVB-verified combined test, but common-practice analysis fla
hydro risk is i
0 % deduction with 'deemed negligible' justification; physic
Jurisdictional grid EF (0.5605, 2011) is standard, but CAR 7
Safeguards and benefit-sharing mentioned, but no FPIC, griev
CORSIA and CCP status both not stated in available documents
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