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VCS avoidance Indonesia Registry: Registered Documentazione completa General Methodology v2.0

50 MW Sipansihaporas Hydro Power Plant, North Sumatra

VCS-486 ↗

5.0 / 10
Integrity
4.6
Transparency
5.2
Claim Safety
4.3
Documentation
6.8

Score Breakdown

Integrity

verified Additionality is supported by an investment test and is confirmed by the VVB (validation/verification documentation referenced in the extracted record).

missing Baseline and quantification inputs show reliability issues (grid emission factor differs across documents and leakage is not consistently justified), alongside numerous corrective actions in the 2022 monitoring cycle.

Transparency

verified Key project attributes are available (methodology ACM0002 v17.0, VVB identified as TÜV NORD CERT GmbH, monitoring period 2017-05-01 to 2020-12-31).

missing Reported figures are inconsistent across documents (claimed and verified ER values conflict), reducing MRV clarity for third parties.

Claim Safety

verified The project is stated as not CORSIA-eligible, reducing aviation-claim channel risk.

missing Over-crediting risk is elevated by contradictory ER totals and differing grid emission factors used across documents, plus unclear leakage justification despite a 0% deduction.

Documentation

verified A relatively large document set is referenced (29 documents including PDD, monitoring report, validation report, issuance) with high extraction confidence.

missing The presence of many corrective actions and multiple cross-document contradictions indicates documentation quality/control weaknesses.

Detailed Analysis

Integrity

The validation/verification record indicates additionality was assessed using an investment test and confirmed by the VVB, which supports additionality robustness. However, the baseline is project-specific and the last reassessment is dated 2009, while key quantification inputs vary across documents (e.g., grid emission factor differs between the 2018 monitoring report and the 2022 validation report). Leakage is deducted at 0%, but the 2022 monitoring report does not address leakage while an earlier monitoring report deems it negligible, weakening boundary completeness. Numerous corrective actions in the 2022 monitoring cycle (including inconsistencies between monitored parameters and the ER spreadsheet and missing technical details) further reduce confidence in the integrity of quantified outcomes.

Transparency

The project discloses core MRV elements such as the monitoring period (2017-05-01 to 2020-12-31), applied methodology (ACM0002 v17.0), and the VVB (TÜV NORD CERT GmbH). Transparency is undermined by conflicting emissions-reduction totals across documents, making it difficult to reconcile what was claimed versus what was ultimately verified. The 2022 monitoring report also triggered multiple corrective actions, suggesting that reporting completeness and internal consistency required significant remediation.

Claim Safety

The project is explicitly marked as not CORSIA-eligible, which lowers the risk of problematic aviation-related claims. Nonetheless, claim safety is weakened by material inconsistencies in emission reduction totals (claimed and verified) and by differing grid emission factors across documents, both of which can drive over-crediting risk in grid-connected renewable projects. Leakage treatment is also inconsistent (0% deduction with either no discussion or only a negligible assertion), which increases greenwashing risk if claims imply comprehensive accounting.

Documentation

The extracted record references a substantial evidence base (PDD, monitoring report, validation report, issuance; 29 documents used) and the minimum extraction confidence is high, supporting a moderate-to-strong documentation score. However, the 2022 monitoring report lists numerous corrective actions, including missing technical details and inconsistencies between reported monitoring parameters and the ER spreadsheet, indicating documentation and QA/QC weaknesses. Multiple contradictions across monitoring and validation/verification documents further reduce confidence that the documentation set is internally coherent.

Overall

Overall quality is constrained primarily by cross-document inconsistencies that affect credit quantification and eligibility boundaries. For the emission reductions, the project shows conflicting claimed totals within the same monitoring-report date (401,613 vs 187,259 in documents dated 2018-02-14); the higher figure (401,613) is privileged because it aligns with the main extracted project-level claimed total and appears repeatedly in the record, but the contradiction materially lowers confidence. For verified ERs, the 2022 validation/verification figure (585,739) is privileged over the 2018 value (401,613) because it is more recent and presented as the verified outcome, yet the jump indicates either scope changes or recalculation that is not transparently reconciled here. Safeguards-related fields (safeguards mention, grievance mechanism, benefit sharing, FPIC) are treated as present based on the more recent 2022 monitoring report, but the earlier 2013 monitoring report contradicts these, so the project is scored down for reliability. The grid emission factor discrepancy (0.869 in the 2022 validation report vs 0.743 in the 2018 monitoring report) and the crediting-period conflict (2016–2026 vs 2006–2016) are treated in favor of the more recent 2022 monitoring report/validation report, but both contradictions increase over-crediting and boundary-risk concerns and therefore reduce integrity, transparency, and claim-safety scores.

Audit Analysis

This is a grid-connected hydro project under ACM0002 with additionality stated as an investment test and confirmed by the VVB, but several internal inconsistencies across documents raise over-crediting and data-reliability concerns. Safeguards and stakeholder provisions appear stronger in later documents, yet earlier records conflict, and leakage treatment is not consistently justified.

Project Description

This hydro power plant in Indonesia has a total actual installed capacity of 50 MW and is owned and developed by PT. PLN (Persero), a state-owned electricity company. By generating and supplying electricity to the Sumatra grid, the project increases the utilization of renewable energy sources and reduces the carbon intensity of the region's electricity generation.

Red Flags

  • Large inconsistencies in reported and verified emission reductions across documents (e.g., claimed values differ within the same date and verified values change materially between 2018 and 2022).
  • Crediting period is inconsistent across monitoring reports (2006–2016 vs 2016–2026), creating uncertainty about eligibility boundaries and baseline applicability.
  • Leakage is taken as 0% but is either not addressed or only deemed negligible depending on the document, weakening confidence in completeness of the GHG boundary treatment.
  • Multiple corrective actions were raised against the monitoring report and project description (including inconsistencies between reported parameters and the ER spreadsheet).

Credit Vintages

Issued Retired Available
2009
75,451 75,451 0
2010
137,134 135,781 1,353
2011
131,917 131,917 0
2012
115,662 114,562 1,100
2013
140,109 140,109 0
2014
119,728 119,728 0
2015
139,825 124,255 15,570
2016
171,912 30,948 140,964
2017
152,142 152,141 1
2018
181,982 169,883 12,099
2019
143,197 143,197 0
2020
153,784 153,784 0
Total 1,662,843 1,491,756 171,087

Cosa migliorerebbe questo punteggio

  • Publish a clear reconciliation table across versions showing why emission reductions, grid emission factors, and any calculation tools/spreadsheets changed between the 2018 and 2022 validation/monitoring cycles.
  • Resolve the crediting-period discrepancy with registry-linked evidence and ensure all monitoring/verification documents consistently reflect the correct crediting period and applicable baseline parameters.
  • Provide an explicit leakage assessment consistent with ACM0002 requirements (even if negligible) and ensure the justification is consistent across the PDD and monitoring reports.

Questi suggerimenti indicano quali prove pubbliche aggiuntive potrebbero migliorare il livello di confidenza di questa valutazione. Non garantiscono un punteggio futuro più alto.

Risk Indicators

Additionality

Investment test confirmed by VVB

Permanence

Avoidance project; no reversal events reported

Leakage

0% leakage with inconsistent justification

Baseline

Project-specific baseline; reassessment timing dated/unclear

Safeguards

Safeguards/FPIC reported later but contradicted earlier

Double-claim

Not CORSIA-eligible; CCP status not stated

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Analysis Provenance Scored 2026-04-02 General Methodology v2.0 Documentazione completa

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