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ICRAvoidance / ReductionTRACM0002

Aşağı Kaleköy Hydropower Plant

ICR-258 ↗

#1154of 1935 in Renewable energy#18of 75 in TR#37of 154 in Intl. Carbon Registry (ICR)#901of 1287 in ACM0002

4.9/ 10
Integrity
5.5
Transparency
4.5
Claim Safety
5.0
Documentation
4.0

Audit Analysis

A small-scale hydropower avoidance project in Turkey using the well-established ACM0002 methodology, with VVB-confirmed additionality and a jurisdictional grid baseline. The project is under-delivering relative to its ex-ante expectation (approximately 66% of pro-rata), which is conservative, but significant data inconsistencies across documents and a discrepancy between the issuance figure and the monitoring report raise reliability concerns. Documentation quality is weakened by 12 corrective action requests, numerous data contradictions, and the absence of FPIC.

Red Flags

  • The issuance document records a claimed ERR of 3,626,218 tCO2e while the monitoring report (same date, 2026-04-16) reports only 2,400,394 tCO2e — a 51% discrepancy that suggests potential over-crediting at the registry level.
  • The ex-ante lifetime ERR differs by 44% between the verification report (6,624,470) and the monitoring report (3,626,218), undermining confidence in the baseline calculation.
  • 12 corrective action requests and 12 clarification requests were raised during validation, and 21 corrective actions remain in the verification report, indicating persistent documentation and data-quality weaknesses.
  • Free, Prior and Informed Consent (FPIC) was not conducted, despite the project involving a community-adjacent hydropower facility.

Credit Vintages

IssuedRetiredAvailable
2020
535,4030535,403
2021
662,4470662,447
2022
662,4470662,447
2023
662,4470662,447
2024
662,4470662,447
2025
662,4470662,447
2026
662,4470662,447
2027
662,4470662,447
2028
662,4470662,447
2029
662,4470662,447
2030
127,0440127,044
Total6,624,47006,624,470

Risk Indicators

Additionality

VVB-confirmed combined test

Permanence

Avoidance project, no reversal risk

Leakage

0% deduction, thin justification

Baseline

Jurisdictional, reassessment timing unconfirmed

Safeguards

Grievance mechanism present, FPIC absent

Double-claim

CORSIA-eligible, CCP status unknown

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Analysis ProvenanceScored2026-09-02ACM0002

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