Central Texas Floodplain Reforestation Project 2023
#25of 80 in ARR (afforestation)#203of 345 in United States#55of 59 in City Forest Credits (CFC)
Audit Analysis
The Central Texas Floodplain Reforestation Project has a solid additionality foundation (combined test, VVB-verified) and a 5% buffer pool, but suffers from a complete absence of leakage treatment and unresolved operational issues (survival-rate failures at three sites requiring replanting). Three cross-document contradictions reduce confidence in the data record, and several key MRV parameters (FNRB, usage monitoring, CORSIA/CCP status) are not stated in the available documents.
Red Flags
- Leakage deduction and justification are entirely absent from all extracted documents — a significant gap for a reforestation project where displaced timber or displaced planting is a plausible leakage pathway.
- Survival rates at Sites 2, 5, and 10 fell below the 25% threshold; 8.22 acres require replanting and Site 6 lost 0.84 acres to trail construction, indicating the initial planting did not fully achieve its design.
- Three contradictions across documents (baseline method, ERR figures, reversal treatment) reduce confidence in the internal consistency of the project record.
- Leakage not addressed in project documentation
Credit Vintages
| Issued | Retired | Available | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 919 | 31 | 888 | |
| Total | 919 | 31 | 888 |
Risk Indicators
Combined test, VVB-verified
5% buffer, no reversals, but survival-rate failures at 3 sites
No deduction or justification in any document
Jurisdictional per VR, but PDD says project-specific; reassessment timing not stated
Safeguards and benefit-sharing mentioned; FPIC and grievance mechanism not stated
CORSIA and CCP status not stated in available documents
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