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ICRAvoidance / ReductionCDVM0009

DRC REDD+ Carbon Credit Harvesting

ICR-66 ↗

#107of 145 in REDD+#95of 154 in Intl. Carbon Registry (ICR)#7of 9 in VM0009

3.8/ 10
Integrity
4.5
Transparency
3.0
Claim Safety
4.0
Documentation
3.0

Audit Analysis

This DRC REDD+ project presents a very large ex-ante credit volume (approximately 4.2 billion tCO2e over 30 years) supported only by a project design document, with no verified monitoring data available. The 25% buffer pool and presence of FPIC and a grievance mechanism are positive, but the absence of VVB-confirmed additionality, a project-specific baseline, a 0% leakage deduction justified only as 'deemed negligible,' and the apparent overlap between the registry and the VVB raise significant concerns about additionality robustness and over-crediting risk.

Red Flags

  • The VVB is listed as the International Carbon Registry (ICR), which appears to be the same entity as the project's registry, raising a serious independence concern
  • 0% leakage deduction for a REDD+ project in the DRC justified only as 'deemed negligible' — no site-specific quantification or boundary analysis found
  • No verified monitoring data exists (no monitoring period, no verified ERR), so the 4.2 billion tCO2e claim is entirely unvalidated
  • Additionality test (combined) is present in the PDD but is not confirmed as verified by the VVB
  • Extremely large credit volume (~141 million tCO2e per year) with no independent verification or jurisdictional baseline to anchor the claim

Credit Vintages

No issuances recorded on the registry.

Risk Indicators

Additionality

Combined test in PDD but VVB verification not confirmed

Permanence

25% buffer pool, no reversal events reported

Leakage

0% deduction, 'deemed negligible' — weak for DRC REDD+

Baseline

Project-specific baseline; reassessment not yet due under 10-yr rule

Safeguards

FPIC conducted, grievance mechanism present, safeguards documented

Double-claim

CORSIA and CCP status both not stated — risk unconfirmed but unexcluded

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Analysis ProvenanceScored2026-09-02VM0009

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