GS7591 VPA 26 Central Mozambique Safe Water Programme

Audit Analysis

The Central Mozambique Safe Water Programme has a solid additionality foundation (VVB-confirmed combined test, recent 2024 baseline reassessment, no reversals) and documented safeguards including FPIC and a grievance mechanism. However, the project carries significant over-crediting risk: the verified ERR of 433,968 tCO₂e exceeds the lifetime ex-ante estimate of 300,000 tCO₂e, a prior monitoring period over-issued 30,370 tCO₂e, and 26 corrective action requests were raised and resolved across the verification cycle. The 0% leakage deduction justified only as 'deemed negligible' is weak for a project where households could revert to firewood.

Project Description

Red Flags

• ⚠Verified ERR of 433,968 tCO₂e exceeds the lifetime ex-ante estimate of 300,000 tCO₂e by 44.7%, indicating potential over-crediting
• ⚠Over-issuance of 30,370 tCO₂e in MP1 due to incorrect borehole operating-day calculation (corrected by deduction in MP3)
• ⚠26 corrective action requests and 13 clarification requests raised and resolved, indicating systemic documentation and calculation quality issues
• ⚠Leakage deduction of 0% justified only as 'deemed negligible' with no quantified analysis, while the monitoring report references a 'quantified' leakage treatment
• ⚠Project was in non-compliance with methodology monitoring requirements for parameter SDWS 23; multiple deviation requests were not approved

Credit Vintages