Guodian Tulufan Daheyan River Qushou and downstream Cascaded Hydropower Project

Audit Analysis

A CDM cascaded hydropower project in China with a VVB-confirmed combined additionality test and a reasonable zero-leakage justification, but severely undermined by a seven-fold discrepancy in claimed emission reductions between the validation report and an appendix, a conflicting grid emission factor, and a baseline-method inconsistency between the PDD and validation report. No monitoring data, verified ERR, or permanence mechanism is available in the extracted record, leaving the project's actual performance and long-term integrity unassessable.

Project Description

Red Flags

• ⚠Seven-fold discrepancy in total claimed ERR: 174,569 tCO₂e in the validation report versus 1,221,985 tCO₂e in an appendix — a factor-of-7 gap that cannot be reconciled from available documents
• ⚠Grid emission factor conflict: 0.7926 tCO₂/MWh (validation report, 2010 grid) versus 1.0001 tCO₂/MWh (appendix, undated) — a 27% difference that materially affects the credit quantity
• ⚠Baseline method stated as 'project-specific' in the validation report but 'jurisdictional' in the PDD, creating ambiguity about the counterfactual basis
• ⚠No monitoring report, verified ERR, or monitoring period found in any available document — actual performance is entirely unverified
• ⚠No permanence or reversal-risk mechanism (buffer pool, insurance, or equivalent) is documented for the 7-year crediting period

Credit Vintages

No issuances recorded on the registry.