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VCS Forestry China Registry: On Hold - see notification letter Documentazione completa General Methodology v2.0

Inner Mongolia Chao’Er Improved Forest Management Project

VCS-1529 ↗

5.8 / 10
Integrity
4.7
Transparency
6.0
Claim Safety
6.4
Documentation
6.8

Score Breakdown

Integrity

verified Additionality is confirmed by the VVB using an investment test (validation report).

missing Leakage is treated as 0% with justification either missing or inconsistent across monitoring documents (monitoring reports).

Transparency

verified Key MRV elements are present (named VVB, monitoring period 2015–2019, and a verified ER figure reported) (monitoring/validation documentation).

missing The claimed ER total is not found in the extracted record, and the verified ER figure conflicts across validation report versions.

Claim Safety

verified The project is explicitly not CORSIA-eligible, reducing aviation-claim channel risk (registry extract).

missing Over-crediting risk is elevated by inconsistent verified ER totals and weak leakage substantiation (validation/monitoring documents).

Documentation

verified A relatively large document set was used (12 documents including PDD, monitoring and validation reports) with high extraction confidence.

missing Multiple internal inconsistencies across document dates/versions (buffer %, safeguards/FPIC, ER totals) reduce document reliability.

Detailed Analysis

Integrity

The validation documentation confirms additionality via an investment test and indicates it was confirmed by the VVB, which supports additionality robustness. Permanence management appears reasonably strong for a VCS IFM project, with a reported buffer contribution and no reversals reported in monitoring. Integrity is weakened by leakage: the monitoring record shows a 0% leakage deduction while leakage is either not addressed or only asserted as negligible in an older monitoring version, leaving the basis for zero deduction unclear.

Transparency

The extracted record includes a named VVB (China Quality Certification Center), a clear monitoring period (2015–2019), and a verified ER quantity reported in validation documentation, which supports basic transparency. However, the total ER claimed is not found in the extracted record, limiting the ability to reconcile claimed vs verified outcomes. Transparency is further reduced by conflicting verified ER totals across validation report versions, suggesting versioning or reporting inconsistencies.

Claim Safety

The project is explicitly not CORSIA-eligible, which lowers the risk of problematic aviation-related claims. Claim safety is nonetheless constrained by potential over-crediting signals: the verified ER total differs across validation report versions, and leakage is effectively set to zero without a stable, well-documented justification in the extracted record. CCP status is not found in the extracted record, leaving an additional quality/eligibility signal unresolved.

Documentation

Documentation coverage is fairly strong: multiple document types are referenced (PDD, monitoring report, validation report) and the extraction confidence is high, suggesting the underlying files were readable. The record also notes corrective actions during validation that were closed, indicating some quality control. Still, repeated contradictions across document dates/versions (buffer %, safeguards/FPIC, and ER totals) reduce confidence that the documentation set is internally consistent and up to date.

Overall

Overall quality is moderate: additionality is VVB-confirmed and permanence management appears supported by a buffer contribution and no reversals reported, but leakage treatment and internal consistency issues materially weaken confidence. For contradictions, I privileged the more recent monitoring/validation statements where they reflect the latest project status (e.g., safeguards/FPIC and grievance mechanism reported as present in the 2020 validation/monitoring documentation), but I discounted scores because earlier versions contradict these points. For buffer contribution (23% in a 2015 monitoring report vs 10% in a 2020 validation report), I treated the higher 23% as more conservative for permanence but flagged the inconsistency as a reliability issue. For verified ERs (343,998 in 2020 validation vs 380,247 in 2016 validation), I privileged the more recent 2020 figure as the latest stated outcome, while reducing transparency/claim-safety due to the unresolved discrepancy.

Audit Analysis

This IFM project shows several integrity strengths typical of VCS forestry, including VVB-confirmed additionality and a sizeable buffer contribution with no reversals reported. However, leakage treatment is weak (0% deduction with inconsistent/absent justification), and multiple cross-document inconsistencies (buffer %, safeguards/FPIC, and verified ERs) reduce confidence in the reliability of key claims.

Project Description

The Inner Mongolia Chao’er Forest Industry IFM Project, located in Hulun Buir City, P.R. China, protects 40,027.50 hectares of previously logging-designated commercial forest. This carbon project halts commercial logging to focus on sustainable forest management, ecological restoration, and resource monitoring. Expected to generate over 8 million tCO2e in emission reductions during its 30-year crediting period, the project contributes to combating climate change and preserving vital ecosystem services.

Red Flags

  • Leakage deduction of 0% while leakage is not addressed in the extracted record, and another document version says leakage was “negligible” without a consistent, retained justification.
  • Conflicting figures for buffer contribution (23% vs 10%) and for verified emission reductions (343,998 vs 380,247), indicating document/version control issues.
  • Leakage not addressed in project documentation

Credit Vintages

Issued Retired Available
2010
81,487 81,479 8
2011
76,844 76,844 0
2012
76,049 76,049 0
2013
75,255 70,093 5,162
2014
40,000 40,000 0
2015
52,436 903 51,533
2016
69,728 0 69,728
2017
68,800 33,700 35,100
2018
67,871 67,871 0
2019
66,941 66,941 0
Total 675,411 513,880 161,531

Cosa migliorerebbe questo punteggio

  • Provide a clear, methodology-aligned leakage assessment (and evidence) supporting the 0% leakage deduction, or apply a quantified deduction if warranted, and keep it consistent across monitoring versions.
  • Publish/clarify a single authoritative set of figures for buffer contribution and verified ERs (with version control and registry cross-references) to resolve discrepancies across validation/monitoring documents.

Questi suggerimenti indicano quali prove pubbliche aggiuntive potrebbero migliorare il livello di confidenza di questa valutazione. Non garantiscono un punteggio futuro più alto.

Risk Indicators

Additionality

VVB-confirmed investment test

Permanence

Buffer in place; no reversals reported

Leakage

0% deduction with weak/inconsistent justification

Baseline

Project-specific baseline; reassessment timing unclear

Safeguards

Safeguards/FPIC reported but inconsistent across versions

Double-claim

Not CORSIA-eligible; CCP status not found

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Analysis Provenance Scored 2026-04-02 General Methodology v2.0 Documentazione completa

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