Mangrove Restoration Project with Sine Saloum and Casamance communities, Senegal
#248of 261 in Soil carbon#11of 12 in Senegal#1309of 1339 in Verra (VCS)#13of 14 in AR-AM0014
Audit Analysis
This mangrove restoration project in Senegal carries an extremely heavy burden of unresolved compliance failures, including 22 corrective action requests, failed WRC and leakage compliance, and significant ERR discrepancies across documents. While it holds a 13% buffer pool and VVB-confirmed additionality, the absence of any verified monitoring data, the project-specific baseline, and the severity of the material findings make it a high-risk credit. The low extraction confidence and contradictory records across documents further undermine confidence in the project's integrity.
Red Flags
- 22 Corrective Action Requests and 13 Clarification Requests raised during validation, including failures to demonstrate compliance with WRC requirements, leakage requirements, and evidence that native ecosystems would not be converted
- ERR discrepancy: the PDD (2022) states a lifetime ex-ante estimate of 2,864,109 tCO₂e, while the validation report (2025) states 1,434,826 tCO₂e — a factor-of-two gap that is unexplained
- Leakage was deemed negligible in the validation report, yet the material findings explicitly state the project 'fails to demonstrate compliance with leakage requirements'
- No verified ERR figure exists in any available document; total_err_verified is not stated, making it impossible to confirm actual delivery against the claimed 1,434,826 tCO₂e
- The earlier issuance document (2023) recorded additionality as NOT verified by the VVB, directly contradicting the 2025 validation report which records it as verified
Credit Vintages
No issuances recorded on the registry.
Risk Indicators
Combined test VVB-confirmed but barrier analysis incomplete; earlier document contradicts
13% buffer pool, no reversal events, but NPRR does not report specific risk events
Deemed negligible yet compliance with leakage requirements explicitly failed
Project-specific baseline, no reassessment date; not yet due under VCS 10-year rule
FPIC and grievance mechanism present, but multiple safeguard-related CARs unresolved
CCP 'eligible' in 2024 appendix but 'not_mentioned' in 2025 validation; CORSIA not stated
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