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VCSavoidanceTürkiye Registry: RegisteredACM0002

Otluca Hpps Run-Of-River Hydro Project

VCS-755 ↗

#389of 1935 in Renewable energy#10of 26 in Türkiye#194of 1339 in Verra (VCS)#295of 1287 in ACM0002

6.0/ 10
Integrity
6.5
Transparency
5.5
Claim Safety
6.0
Documentation
6.0

Audit Analysis

The Otluca Run-of-River Hydro project is a small-scale renewable energy avoidance project with VVB-confirmed additionality and no material findings, but it is undermined by 12 documented contradictions across its file—most critically a 2.2× discrepancy in verified ERR figures and a shift in baseline method between the 2022 monitoring report and the 2023 verification report. Leakage is deducted at 0% with the 2023 verification report stating the issue was 'not addressed,' and the baseline is project-specific rather than jurisdictional, both of which weaken the integrity and claim-safety profile.

Red Flags

  • Verified ERR figures differ by a factor of 2.2 between the 2023 PDD (244,723 tCO₂e) and the 2022 verification report (532,381 tCO₂e), creating material uncertainty about actual credit volume
  • Baseline method is described as 'project' in the 2023 verification report but 'jurisdictional' in the 2022 monitoring report—a fundamental methodological inconsistency
  • Leakage deduction is 0% and the 2023 verification report states leakage was 'not addressed,' removing any documented safeguard against displacement effects
  • Twelve contradictions across the document set (including grid emission factor, additionality test type, FPIC, grievance mechanism, and crediting period) indicate either significant parameter changes between crediting periods or data-extraction reliability issues

Credit Vintages

IssuedRetiredAvailable
2011
61,73461,7340
2012
100,4660100,466
2013
79,50177,7471,754
2014
41,45341,4530
2015
91,7047,70384,001
2016
80,248080,248
2017
187,0340187,034
2018
189,8240189,824
2019
213,915213,9150
2020
101,563101,5630
2021
69,24768,916331
2022
52,00622,45529,551
Total1,268,695595,486673,209

Risk Indicators

Additionality

VVB-confirmed investment test

Permanence

Avoidance project – no storage reversal risk

Leakage

0% deduction, not addressed in 2023 VR

Baseline

Project-specific baseline, method contradicted

Safeguards

FPIC, grievance mechanism, safeguards documented

Double-claim

CORSIA excluded; CCP status not stated

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Analysis ProvenanceScored2026-09-03ACM0002

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