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ICRAvoidance / ReductionGBGeneral Methodologyv2.1

Project Flux

ICR-72 ↗

#70of 154 in Intl. Carbon Registry (ICR)

4.3/ 10
Integrity
4.0
Transparency
5.0
Claim Safety
3.5
Documentation
5.0

Audit Analysis

Project Flux is a UK wastewater-treatment avoidance project with VVB-confirmed additionality and a smart-meter MRV system, but it is undermined by eight material findings (including an incorrect baseline emission calculation and missing monitoring parameters), a project-specific baseline with no recorded reassessment, no buffer pool, and a verified delivery of only ~4.6% of the pro-rata ex-ante expectation for the elapsed monitoring period. The combination of documentation gaps, a significant ERR discrepancy between the PDD and the validation report, and the very low verified-to-expected ratio raises substantial over-crediting and baseline-validity concerns.

Red Flags

  • Verified ERR of 408 tCO₂e represents only ~4.6% of the pro-rata ex-ante expectation (~8,800 tCO₂e) for the ~10-month monitoring period, indicating severe under-delivery or an overly optimistic ex-ante estimate.
  • Material finding CL 03 reports an incorrect baseline emission calculation and missing monitoring parameters (kWh, EfE, H, D), directly undermining the integrity of the credit calculation.
  • Eight corrective actions remain open, including inconsistent project start dates, component lifespans shorter than the 10-year crediting period, and incomplete stakeholder consultation at the Shaftesbury site.
  • The PDD (dated 2023-05-15) claims 10,562 tCO₂e while the earlier validation report (2023-02-28) records 408 tCO₂e; the PDD post-dates the validation, which is an unusual and concerning sequencing.

Credit Vintages

IssuedRetiredAvailable
2022
5090509
2023
10,562010,562
2024
10,562010,562
2025
10,562010,562
2026
10,562010,562
2027
10,562010,562
2028
10,562010,562
2029
10,562010,562
2030
10,562010,562
2031
10,562010,562
2032
10,562010,562
2033
10,053010,053
Total116,1820116,182

Risk Indicators

Additionality

VVB-confirmed combined test

Permanence

low inherent reversal risk

Leakage

0% deduction, 'deemed negligible' without quantitative support

Baseline

Project-specific; incorrect calculation flagged; no reassessment date

Safeguards

Mentioned but FPIC and grievance mechanism not stated; consultation gap at one site

Double-claim

CORSIA and CCP status not stated in available documents

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Analysis ProvenanceScored2026-09-08General Methodology v2.1

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