Reforestation And Restoration Of Degraded Mangrove Lands, Sustainable Livelihood And Community Development In Myanmar
Score Breakdown
Integrity
verified Additionality is confirmed by the VVB and an additionality test is described (monitoring report; PDD).
missing Multiple CARs and corrective actions relate to baseline applicability, area delineation, QA/QC sampling, and missing uncertainty calculation, which can undermine quantified removals (monitoring report, 2025-06-28).
Transparency
verified Monitoring period is clearly stated and the extracted record shows claimed and verified ERs matching for the period (monitoring report, 2025-06-28).
missing Key elements are inconsistent across documents (e.g., leakage treatment, safeguards/FPIC, buffer pool), reducing confidence in reported figures (multiple documents listed in contradictions).
Claim Safety
verified No discrepancy between claimed and verified ERs is shown in the extracted record for the cited monitoring period (monitoring report, 2025-06-28).
missing CORSIA and CCP status are not stated in the extracted record, and contradictions in safeguards/leakage/buffer increase greenwashing and over-crediting risk.
Documentation
verified A relatively large document set was used (36) including PDD, monitoring, validation, and issuance records, with high extraction confidence.
missing Presence of an “unknown” source in the evidence set and multiple contradictions across documents indicate record-management and consistency issues.
Detailed Analysis
Integrity
Additionality is presented as barrier-based and confirmed by the VVB (monitoring report; PDD). However, the monitoring report (2025-06-28) lists corrective actions including an outdated non-permanence risk report, a reduction in planted/project area due to resort construction requiring justification for methodology applicability and baseline appropriateness, overlapping strata/shapefile errors, failure to conduct required QA/QC remeasurement, and a missing uncertainty calculation. A buffer contribution is reported, but permanence confidence is reduced by inconsistent buffer percentages across documents and the note that carbon stocks declined by 2.19% across 2018–2021 (monitoring report).
Transparency
The monitoring period is clearly defined (2022-06-15 to 2023-12-31) and the extracted record shows the same total ERs claimed and verified (60,226) for the cited record (monitoring report, 2025-06-28). Transparency is weakened by missing baseline reassessment timing and missing monitoring-method details in the extracted record, plus multiple cross-document inconsistencies (e.g., leakage treatment and safeguards). The number of documents used is high and extraction confidence is high, but contradictions reduce interpretability for external reviewers.
Claim Safety
Over-crediting risk is elevated because the monitoring report (2025-06-28) flags issues that can directly affect quantified removals (area overlaps, QA/QC not performed, and no uncertainty calculation). Leakage is shown as a 0% deduction while the leakage justification is inconsistent across monitoring reports, which increases the risk that leakage is understated. CCP status and CORSIA eligibility are not stated in the extracted record, limiting the ability to assess eligibility-based claim risk.
Documentation
The extracted record indicates 36 documents were used and includes core document types (PDD, validation report, monitoring report, issuance), with high extraction confidence. Documentation quality is nonetheless impacted by the presence of an “unknown” document type and several contradictions across documents on safeguards, leakage, buffer pool, and ER totals. Corrective actions in the monitoring report (2025-06-28) also indicate that some required supporting analyses (e.g., updated non-permanence risk report, uncertainty calculation) were not current or not completed at the time of reporting.
Overall
Key contradictions reduce confidence: (1) Additionality test is described as “combined” in the PDD (2018-02-19) but “barrier” in a later monitoring report (2019-09-26); I privilege the later monitoring report for how the project is currently represented, but the inconsistency lowers reliability. (2) Verified ERs differ between validation reports (54,137 in 2021-11-11 vs 60,226 in 2023-10-13); I privilege the more recent 2023 validation figure, but the change without context increases over-crediting concern. (3) Grievance mechanism and FPIC are reported as present in the 2025 monitoring report but absent in an “unknown” 2023 source; I privilege the signed monitoring report as the more formal disclosure, yet the contradiction weakens safeguards confidence. (4) Leakage justification is “quantified” in a 2023 monitoring report but “not addressed” in 2025; I privilege the more recent 2025 statement, which increases leakage risk. (5) Buffer pool is 24% in the 2023 validation report vs 10% in a monitoring report; I privilege the validation report for permanence risk setting, but the inconsistency indicates documentation control issues.
Audit Analysis
This VCS blue carbon removal project has VVB-confirmed additionality and a stated buffer contribution, but integrity is weakened by multiple corrective action requests affecting baseline applicability, area accounting, QA/QC, and uncertainty treatment. Transparency is moderate due to a clear monitoring period and matching claimed vs verified ERs in the extracted record, but several cross-document contradictions and missing baseline reassessment details increase reliability risk.
Project Description
This mangrove restoration project in Myanmar's Ayeyarwady Division restores 2,000 hectares to combat climate change, enhance biodiversity, and support coastal livelihoods. Planting native species under VCS standards, it reduces disaster risks, stores significant carbon, and creates sustainable jobs. Community initiatives improve education, infrastructure, and resilience while generating Verra-certified carbon credits.
Red Flags
- Corrective actions cite missing uncertainty calculation, overlapping strata/shapefile issues, and failure to perform required QA/QC remeasurement—each can materially affect quantified removals (monitoring report, 2025-06-28).
- Leakage is shown as a 0% deduction while leakage treatment is inconsistent across monitoring reports (2025-06-28 vs 2023-10-11).
- Buffer pool contribution is inconsistent between documents (10% in monitoring report vs 24% in validation report), creating uncertainty about permanence risk management.
Credit Vintages
| Issued | Retired | Available | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 31,744 | 31,587 | 157 | |
| 2018 | 26,615 | 25,215 | 1,400 | |
| 2019 | 53,369 | 51,441 | 1,928 | |
| 2020 | 54,137 | 50,546 | 3,591 | |
| 2021 | 25,080 | 24,890 | 190 | |
| 2022 | 48,439 | 20,830 | 27,609 | |
| 2023 | 50,641 | 10,000 | 40,641 | |
| Total | 290,025 | 214,509 | 75,516 |
Cosa migliorerebbe questo punteggio
- Resolve CARs with documented evidence: updated non-permanence risk report, corrected strata/shapefiles, demonstrated QA/QC remeasurement, and a complete uncertainty calculation (monitoring report, 2025-06-28).
- Publish a consistent leakage assessment (and any deduction) aligned across monitoring reports, and clarify the definitive buffer pool percentage with registry-consistent documentation.
Questi suggerimenti indicano quali prove pubbliche aggiuntive potrebbero migliorare il livello di confidenza di questa valutazione. Non garantiscono un punteggio futuro più alto.
Risk Indicators
VVB-confirmed additionality test
Buffer stated but inconsistent; minor stock loss noted
0% deduction with inconsistent/weak justification
Project-specific baseline; reassessment timing not stated
FPIC and grievance reported, but contradicted elsewhere
CORSIA/CCP status not stated
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