Safe Water Programme – Kenya – VPA 31

Audit Analysis

The Safe Water Programme in Kenya demonstrates a verified additionality case and consistent claimed/verified ERR figures, but is undermined by a project-specific baseline, an unaddressed leakage justification, absence of a buffer pool, and a substantial list of 17 corrective actions. The lack of an ex-ante lifetime estimate prevents a meaningful pro-rata delivery check, and several contradictions across verification and monitoring reports reduce confidence in data reliability.

Project Description

Red Flags

• ⚠Leakage deduction of 0% with justification recorded as 'not addressed' in the 2024 verification report, contradicting an earlier 'deemed negligible' statement — no quantified or qualitatively justified treatment of leakage for a project where users may revert to previous water sources
• ⚠No buffer pool or permanence mechanism identified in any available document, leaving reversal risk (e.g., system disuse or breakdown) unmitigated
• ⚠17 corrective actions required by the VVB, including sampling design non-compliance with CDM Appendix 3, missing deviation documentation, and incomplete safeguard reporting — indicating material MRV and governance gaps
• ⚠No ex-ante lifetime ERR estimate found in the extracted record, making it impossible to assess whether the 1,023,164 tCO₂e claimed for the December 2024 monitoring period is proportionate to the 5-year crediting period

Credit Vintages