Safe Water Programme – Kenya – VPA 43

Audit Analysis

The Safe Water Programme in Kenya has a VVB-confirmed investment additionality test and conservative usage assumptions, but is undermined by an unaddressed 0% leakage deduction, a project-specific baseline with no documented reassessment, no buffer pool, and 24 outstanding corrective actions. The identical claimed and verified ERR figures (1,023,164 tCO₂e) raise concerns about verification independence, while multiple contradictions across monitoring and verification reports weaken data reliability.

Project Description

Red Flags

• ⚠Claimed and verified ERR are identical (1,023,164 tCO₂e) in the 2024 verification report, suggesting the VVB may have rubber-stamped the project's own calculation rather than independently verifying it.
• ⚠Leakage deduction is 0% with justification recorded as 'not addressed' in the 2024 verification report, despite a safe-water project carrying inherent risk of users reverting to unsafe water sources.
• ⚠24 corrective actions remain outstanding, including concerns about systemic bias in chlorine tablet usage potentially leading to overestimation of emission reductions.
• ⚠No buffer pool percentage is stated in any available document, leaving no quantified safeguard against potential reversal of water-supply benefits.
• ⚠The material finding explicitly states that actual emission reductions are lower than ex-ante estimates in the registered PDD, yet the verified figure equals the claimed figure exactly.

Credit Vintages