Safe Water Programme – Kenya - VPA 57

Audit Analysis

The Safe Water Programme in Kenya has a VVB-verified investment additionality test and no reversal events, but is undermined by a material finding that actual emission reductions fall below ex-ante estimates, a 0% leakage deduction whose justification is absent in the verification report, and the absence of any buffer pool. The exact match between claimed and verified ERR figures (1,023,164 tCO₂e) despite the stated under-delivery raises serious questions about the integrity of the verification arithmetic. Six corrective actions remain open, signalling unresolved MRV and documentation gaps.

Project Description

Red Flags

• ⚠Material finding in the verification report states actual emission reductions are lower than ex-ante PDD estimates, yet the verified ERR figure (1,023,164) is identical to the claimed figure — the under-delivery is not reflected in the verified number.
• ⚠Leakage deduction is 0% and the verification report records the justification as 'not addressed'; the monitoring report's claim of 'deemed negligible' is not corroborated by the higher-priority verification document.
• ⚠Six corrective actions remain unresolved, including stratified sampling compliance, monitoring-gap justification, and population confirmation letters — all of which affect the reliability of the verified ERR.

Credit Vintages