Sea Cave® True Blue Carbon®, Kenya
#8of 11 in Blue carbon#99of 154 in Intl. Carbon Registry (ICR)
Audit Analysis
Sea Cave True Blue Carbon is a pre-implementation blue carbon project in Kenya (crediting period 2027–2041) with a combined additionality test and a project-specific baseline, but critical permanence protections are absent: no buffer pool is stated, no non-permanence insurance has been secured, and reversal risk is explicitly unaddressed. The 0% leakage deduction is justified only as 'deemed negligible' without quantification, and FPIC was not conducted. The project is in early design stage with only a PDD available, limiting the depth of assessment.
Red Flags
- No insurance policy for non-permanence risk has been secured, and reversal events are explicitly not addressed — a significant gap for a blue carbon project exposed to storm, disease, and sea-level-rise risks
- No buffer pool percentage is stated in the PDD, leaving no quantified safety margin against potential reversals
- FPIC was not conducted despite the project being in a community-adjacent coastal setting in Kenya
- Leakage deduction is 0% with only a 'deemed negligible' justification and no quantified analysis
- Credit type is listed as 'Hybrid both' with no CORSIA or CCP status stated, raising potential dual-channel or double-claiming ambiguity
Credit Vintages
| Issued | Retired | Available | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 47,000 | 0 | 47,000 | |
| 2028 | 95,000 | 0 | 95,000 | |
| 2029 | 143,000 | 0 | 143,000 | |
| 2030 | 190,500 | 0 | 190,500 | |
| 2031 | 191,200 | 0 | 191,200 | |
| 2032 | 191,200 | 0 | 191,200 | |
| 2033 | 191,200 | 0 | 191,200 | |
| 2034 | 191,200 | 0 | 191,200 | |
| 2035 | 191,200 | 0 | 191,200 | |
| 2036 | 191,200 | 0 | 191,200 | |
| 2037 | 191,200 | 0 | 191,200 | |
| 2038 | 191,200 | 0 | 191,200 | |
| 2039 | 191,200 | 0 | 191,200 | |
| 2040 | 191,200 | 0 | 191,200 | |
| 2041 | 191,200 | 0 | 191,200 | |
| Total | 2,578,700 | 0 | 2,578,700 |
Risk Indicators
Combined test stated but VVB verification not confirmed
No insurance, no buffer pool, reversals unaddressed
0% deduction, 'deemed negligible' without quantification
Project-specific baseline, no reassessment date stated
Safeguards mentioned but FPIC not conducted, no grievance mechanism
Hybrid both type; CORSIA and CCP status not stated
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