Skógálfar, Álfabrekka
#44of 80 in ARR (afforestation)#4of 17 in IS#76of 154 in Intl. Carbon Registry (ICR)
Audit Analysis
The Álfabrekka afforestation project in Iceland has a VVB-verified additionality assessment and a 20% buffer pool, but is burdened by nine material findings and five corrective actions from the validation report, including inconsistencies in planted area and non-compliance with the Skógarkolefni 2.0 standard. No monitoring data exists yet, the baseline is project-specific, and the 0% leakage deduction rests on a thin 'deemed negligible' justification. The project is in its earliest phase with significant documentation gaps that limit confidence in the 52,120-tonne lifetime claim.
Red Flags
- Nine material findings in the validation report, including a 40 ha vs 100 ha planted-area discrepancy and missing EIA exemption reference, indicate unresolved compliance gaps with the Skógarkolefni 2.0 standard
- Zero percent leakage deduction justified only as 'deemed negligible' without quantified analysis, which is thin for a 50-year forestry project exposed to fire, wind, drought, and pest risks
- No monitoring report or verified ERR figure exists; the entire 52,120-tonne claim remains unverified against actual sequestration
- Baseline is project-specific with no recorded reassessment date, limiting confidence in the counterfactual
Credit Vintages
| Issued | Retired | Available | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 398 | 0 | 398 | |
| 2028 | 422 | 0 | 422 | |
| 2029 | 449 | 0 | 449 | |
| 2030 | 479 | 0 | 479 | |
| 2031 | 511 | 0 | 511 | |
| 2032 | 548 | 0 | 548 | |
| 2033 | 590 | 0 | 590 | |
| 2034 | 632 | 0 | 632 | |
| 2035 | 682 | 0 | 682 | |
| 2036 | 735 | 0 | 735 | |
| 2037 | 791 | 0 | 791 | |
| 2038 | 852 | 0 | 852 | |
| 2039 | 917 | 0 | 917 | |
| 2040 | 983 | 0 | 983 | |
| 2041 | 1,055 | 0 | 1,055 | |
| 2042 | 1,127 | 0 | 1,127 | |
| 2043 | 1,199 | 0 | 1,199 | |
| 2044 | 1,270 | 0 | 1,270 | |
| 2045 | 1,340 | 0 | 1,340 | |
| 2046 | 1,408 | 0 | 1,408 | |
| 2047 | 1,469 | 0 | 1,469 | |
| 2048 | 1,525 | 0 | 1,525 | |
| 2049 | 1,572 | 0 | 1,572 | |
| 2050 | 1,612 | 0 | 1,612 | |
| 2051 | 1,640 | 0 | 1,640 | |
| 2052 | 1,660 | 0 | 1,660 | |
| 2053 | 1,667 | 0 | 1,667 | |
| 2054 | 1,665 | 0 | 1,665 | |
| 2055 | 1,654 | 0 | 1,654 | |
| 2056 | 1,635 | 0 | 1,635 | |
| 2057 | 1,606 | 0 | 1,606 | |
| 2058 | 1,574 | 0 | 1,574 | |
| 2059 | 1,535 | 0 | 1,535 | |
| 2060 | 1,493 | 0 | 1,493 | |
| 2061 | 1,448 | 0 | 1,448 | |
| 2062 | 1,403 | 0 | 1,403 | |
| 2063 | 1,355 | 0 | 1,355 | |
| 2064 | 1,309 | 0 | 1,309 | |
| 2065 | 1,263 | 0 | 1,263 | |
| 2066 | 1,216 | 0 | 1,216 | |
| 2067 | 1,170 | 0 | 1,170 | |
| 2068 | 1,127 | 0 | 1,127 | |
| 2069 | 1,085 | 0 | 1,085 | |
| 2070 | 1,045 | 0 | 1,045 | |
| 2071 | 1,006 | 0 | 1,006 | |
| Total | 52,122 | 0 | 52,122 |
Risk Indicators
VVB-verified combined test
20% buffer, no reversals yet, risks identified
0% deduction, 'deemed negligible' only
Project-specific, no reassessment date
Grievance & benefit sharing present, FPIC not stated
CORSIA and CCP status not stated
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