GSPVSouth AfricaAMS-I.F

Small-scale solar electrical programme, South Africa – CPA-007

GS-4181 ↗ · current registry ID: GS12002

#29of 59 in South Africa#1196of 1801 in Gold Standard (GS)#22of 44 in AMS-I.F

4.7/ 10
Integrity
5.5
Transparency
3.8
Claim Safety
5.0
Documentation
3.8

Scored2026-09-06medium confidence

Generated by CarbonMeld Analysis Pipeline · Methodology · Editorial Policy · About the System
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Audit Analysis

A Gold Standard solar PV programme in South Africa with a jurisdictional baseline and VVB-confirmed additionality, but severely undermined by 13 data contradictions across documents, a low extraction confidence rating, and no documented permanence or buffer mechanism. The project's underperformance relative to ex-ante estimates and the absence of a lifetime ex-ante ERR figure limit confidence in the claimed reductions.

Red Flags

  • 13 contradictions across documents on key figures including total ERR, baseline method, additionality test type, and FPIC status, indicating significant data reliability issues
  • min_extraction_confidence rated 'low', meaning at least one key document was poorly readable, reducing confidence in all extracted figures
  • VPA-015 actual generation was one-third of the estimated value (per 2024 verification report CAR 03), and multiple other VPAs underperformed due to irradiation, grid outages, and equipment failures
  • total_err_exante_lifetime is not stated in any available document, preventing a proper pro-rata delivery assessment

Credit Vintages Exhausted

IssuedRetiredAvailable
2021
9869860
2022
11,75011,7500
2023
12,87312,8730
2024
10,88410,8840
Total36,49336,4930

Risk Indicators

Additionality

VVB-confirmed but contradicted in earlier report

Permanence

mixed evidence / unresolved risk

Leakage

Deemed negligible, reasonable for grid-displacing PV

Baseline

Jurisdictional but 2018 EF; method contradicted in 2024 report

Safeguards

Grievance mechanism present; FPIC status contradictory

Double-claim

CORSIA and CCP status both not stated

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Analysis ProvenanceScored2026-09-06AMS-I.F.: Renewable electricity generation for captive use and mini-grid
Methodology·Editorial Policy·About the System

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