St Paul Minnesota Forest Carbon Offsets
#54of 389 in United States#24of 59 in City Forest Credits (CFC)
Audit Analysis
A small-scale urban forest carbon project (250 hybrid elm trees) in St. Paul, MN, with a verified combined additionality test, jurisdictional baseline, and 5% buffer pool. The project is very new (planting 2022–2023) and delivered roughly 87% of the pro-rata ex-ante expectation for the first monitoring period, which is reasonable for young trees. Key gaps include the absence of any leakage treatment or justification and a crediting-period discrepancy between the validation and verification reports.
Red Flags
- Leakage deduction and justification are entirely absent from the extracted record for a project type where tree removal or land-use change could release stored carbon
- Crediting period differs between the validation report (2024-05-11 to 2050-05-11, 6 years) and the verification report (2020-11-24 to 2046-11-16, 26 years), creating ambiguity about the actual commitment horizon
- One of the five source documents is classified as 'unknown' type, reducing confidence in the completeness of the evidence base
Credit Vintages
| Issued | Retired | Available | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 2,976 | 2,958 | 18 | |
| Total | 2,976 | 2,958 | 18 |
Risk Indicators
VVB-confirmed combined test
mixed evidence / unresolved risk
No deduction or justification found
Jurisdictional baseline, project new
Mentioned but FPIC/grievance not documented
CORSIA and CCP status not stated
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