Tarout Bay Sustainable Wetlands and Mangrove Conservation (Ta-SWAM)
#5of 11 in Blue carbon#4of 7 in SA#77of 154 in Intl. Carbon Registry (ICR)#5of 14 in AR-AM0014
Audit Analysis
The Tarout Bay mangrove conservation project has VVB-confirmed additionality and a 10% buffer pool, but is undermined by a critical buffer-pool contradiction (10% vs 0.1%), a project-specific baseline with no stated reassessment date, a 0% leakage deduction deemed negligible without robust justification, and 31 material findings (8 CARs) at validation. The ERR figures show a 15% discrepancy between the PDD and appendix lifetime estimates, and the absence of a stated monitoring period, FNRB method, and usage monitoring data limits transparency.
Red Flags
- Buffer pool percentage contradicted between the validation report (10%) and the appendix (0.1%) — a 100× discrepancy that, if the lower figure is correct, effectively eliminates the permanence safeguard
- CAR 07 at validation identified that the project area included a conservation area not eligible for A/R credits, indicating boundary/eligibility issues in the initial submission
- 0% leakage deduction deemed negligible for a blue-carbon mangrove/wetland project without a quantified or methodologically grounded justification
- Reversal events field recorded as 'not addressed' in the extracted data, contradicting the detail field which states a non-permanence risk analysis was performed (rating 10)
- Ex-ante lifetime ERR contradicted: PDD states 32,095 tCO₂e while the appendix shows 27,089 tCO₂e (~15% gap)
Credit Vintages
| Issued | Retired | Available | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 57 | 0 | 57 | |
| 2028 | 121 | 0 | 121 | |
| 2029 | 152 | 0 | 152 | |
| 2030 | 265 | 0 | 265 | |
| 2031 | 309 | 0 | 309 | |
| 2032 | 500 | 0 | 500 | |
| 2033 | 562 | 0 | 562 | |
| 2034 | 624 | 0 | 624 | |
| 2035 | 687 | 0 | 687 | |
| 2036 | 749 | 0 | 749 | |
| 2037 | 811 | 0 | 811 | |
| 2038 | 874 | 0 | 874 | |
| 2039 | 936 | 0 | 936 | |
| 2040 | 998 | 0 | 998 | |
| 2041 | 1,061 | 0 | 1,061 | |
| 2042 | 1,123 | 0 | 1,123 | |
| 2043 | 1,185 | 0 | 1,185 | |
| 2044 | 1,248 | 0 | 1,248 | |
| 2045 | 1,310 | 0 | 1,310 | |
| 2046 | 1,372 | 0 | 1,372 | |
| 2047 | 1,435 | 0 | 1,435 | |
| 2048 | 1,497 | 0 | 1,497 | |
| 2049 | 1,558 | 0 | 1,558 | |
| 2050 | 1,622 | 0 | 1,622 | |
| 2051 | 1,684 | 0 | 1,684 | |
| 2052 | 1,746 | 0 | 1,746 | |
| 2053 | 1,809 | 0 | 1,809 | |
| 2054 | 1,871 | 0 | 1,871 | |
| 2055 | 1,933 | 0 | 1,933 | |
| 2056 | 1,996 | 0 | 1,996 | |
| Total | 32,095 | 0 | 32,095 |
Risk Indicators
VVB-confirmed combined test
Buffer pool contradicted (10% vs 0.1%)
0% deemed negligible, no quantified basis
Project-specific, no reassessment date
Grievance mechanism present; FPIC not conducted
CORSIA excluded; CCP status not stated
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