Afam Combined Cycle Gas Turbine Power Project

Audit Analysis

The Afam Combined Cycle Gas Turbine project is a well-understood fossil-fuel-switch CDM project verified by SGS United Kingdom, with VVB-confirmed additionality and no reported reversal events. However, six corrective actions were required to address gaps in baseline documentation, additionality evidence, and emission-factor determination, and the grid emission factor dates from 2009, introducing uncertainty into the baseline. The 19% gap between the project proponent's self-reported and the VVB-verified emission reductions, combined with a project-specific baseline, warrants caution.

Project Description

Red Flags

• ⚠Six corrective actions (CARs) were required covering baseline grid boundaries, additionality evidence, investment-analysis values, sensitivity analysis, common-practice analysis, and EFBl determination — indicating substantial gaps in the initial PDD/validation documentation.
• ⚠The grid emission factor of 0.511 tCO2e/MWh is drawn from 2009 data; no updated or reassessed baseline emission factor is found in the extracted record, raising the risk that the baseline over- or under-states actual grid emissions.
• ⚠A 19% discrepancy between the project proponent's self-reported emission reductions (671,550 tCO2e) and the VVB-verified figure (541,537 tCO2e) was identified and resolved through CAR05, signalling that the initial monitoring data required material adjustment.
• ⚠The baseline method is described as 'project-specific' in the verification report but 'jurisdictional' in the validation report — an unresolved contradiction that affects baseline robustness.

Credit Vintages