Anew - Ashland County Forestry Project

Audit Analysis

A Wisconsin forest-carbon project under ACR with a solid additionality assessment (combined test, VVB-confirmed), a 16% buffer pool, no reported reversals, and a quantified 30% leakage deduction. The main weaknesses are a project-specific modeled baseline, a first-year verified removal that is roughly 2.7× the pro-rata share of the lifetime ex-ante estimate, and several eligibility fields (CORSIA, CCP, FNRB) left unstated. Documentation is recent and from a reputable VVB, with only minor clarifications raised.

Project Description

Red Flags

• ⚠First-year verified removals (96,868 tCO₂e) are approximately 268% of the pro-rata expectation derived from the 20-year lifetime ex-ante estimate (722,674 tCO₂e ÷ 20 ≈ 36,134 tCO₂e/yr), raising questions about whether the ex-ante baseline was overly conservative or the monitoring captured atypically high sequestration.
• ⚠Baseline is project-specific and modeled rather than jurisdictional or field-measured, which increases sensitivity to assumptions about reference forest growth.
• ⚠CORSIA eligibility and CCP status are not stated in any available document, leaving dual-channel or over-crediting risk unassessed.

Credit Vintages