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CDMHydroChinaACM0002

Fujian Hua`an Mianliang Hydropower Project

CDM-2541 ↗

#1236of 1935 in Renewable energy#720of 1084 in China#962of 1459 in CDM (UNFCCC)#959of 1287 in ACM0002

4.8/ 10
Integrity
4.5
Transparency
4.5
Claim Safety
5.5
Documentation
5.0

Audit Analysis

A small hydropower project in China registered under CDM with a jurisdictional grid-emission-factor baseline and a named VVB (CTI). The extracted record lacks explicit confirmation of the additionality test type, a verified ERR figure, and FNRB/usage-rate data, and contains a significant discrepancy between the PDD and validation report on the ex-ante emission reduction estimate. The project type (physical hydro infrastructure) inherently carries low permanence and leakage risk, but documentation gaps and the ERR contradiction limit confidence.

Red Flags

  • The PDD reports a lifetime ex-ante estimate of 832,698 tCO2e while the validation report (same date, 2015-12-23) states 118,957 tCO2e — a roughly 7-fold discrepancy that is unexplained in the available documents.
  • The additionality test type and VVB confirmation are not captured in the extracted record, leaving a core CDM requirement unverified in the available evidence.
  • No verified ERR figure is available for the 2016–2023 monitoring period, preventing any pro-rata delivery check against the ex-ante estimate.

Credit Vintages

IssuedRetiredAvailable
2010
44,912044,912
2011
156,7660156,766
2012
200,6020200,602
Total402,2800402,280

Risk Indicators

Additionality

Test type not confirmed in extracted record

Permanence

Physical hydro asset; no reversal events

Leakage

0% deemed negligible; consistent with project type

Baseline

Jurisdictional grid EF (0.717, 2014)

Safeguards

Mentioned; FPIC and grievance mechanism not confirmed

Double-claim

CORSIA and CCP status not stated in record

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Analysis ProvenanceScored2026-08-29ACM0002

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