ICRAvoidance / ReductionTRAMS-I.D

Gelinkaya HPP

ICR-227 ↗

#768of 1935 in Renewable energy#12of 75 in TR#17of 154 in Intl. Carbon Registry (ICR)#266of 806 in AMS-I.D

5.4/ 10
Integrity
6.5
Transparency
4.5
Claim Safety
5.5
Documentation
4.0

Scored2026-09-08high confidence Latest verified monitoring: 2023-06-13

Generated by CarbonMeld Analysis Pipeline · Methodology · Editorial Policy · About the System
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Audit Analysis

Gelinkaya HPP is a Turkish hydropower avoidance project under the ICR registry with a jurisdictional baseline, investment additionality test, and no reported reversals. However, the project delivered only about 38% of its ex-ante lifetime estimate over the full 10-year crediting period, and several key verification and monitoring details (VVB identity, FNRB, usage rates) are absent from the extracted record. A contradiction in the claimed ERR between two PDD revisions (54,795 vs 14,324) introduces data-reliability uncertainty.

Red Flags

  • Contradiction in total ERR claimed: 54,795 (PDD, 2025-09-02) vs 14,324 (PDD, 2025-08-27) — a 3.8× discrepancy within the same document type, raising questions about data reliability
  • Verified ERR (54,795) is only 38.3% of the ex-ante lifetime estimate (143,242) over the full 10-year crediting period, indicating the ex-ante assumptions were substantially optimistic
  • VVB name and additionality verification status are not stated in the extracted record, leaving the independence of the additionality assessment unconfirmed
  • Four corrective actions are outstanding, including completion of the ICR ESES Tool and re-submission of documentation under v6.0 templates

Credit Vintages

IssuedRetiredAvailable
2013
7,88807,888
2014
14,324014,324
2015
14,324014,324
2016
14,324014,324
2017
14,324014,324
2018
14,324014,324
2019
14,324014,324
2020
14,324014,324
2021
14,324014,324
2022
14,324014,324
2023
6,43606,436
Total143,2400143,240

Risk Indicators

Additionality

Investment test identified but VVB verification not stated

Permanence

Avoidance HPP, 0% permanence risk, no reversals

Leakage

0% deduction, deemed negligible — reasonable for grid-displacement HPP

Baseline

Jurisdictional baseline, but last reassessment date not stated

Safeguards

FPIC, grievance mechanism, and benefit-sharing all documented

Double-claim

CORSIA and CCP status not stated in available documents

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Analysis ProvenanceScored2026-09-08AMS-I.D.
Methodology·Editorial Policy·About the System

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