GS1247 VPA 303 - Togo Safe Water

Audit Analysis

The Togo Safe Water project has VVB-confirmed additionality and no reported reversal events, but suffers from significant data reliability issues including ten inter-document contradictions, no verified ERR figure, a 0% leakage deduction that contradicts an earlier 5% figure, and serious borehole capacity failures (30% and 70% reductions). The absence of a buffer pool and the unresolved open corrective actions (FAR 01–05) further weaken confidence in the project's long-term integrity and claim accuracy.

Project Description

Red Flags

• ⚠No verified ERR figure is available in any document, making it impossible to confirm actual delivery against the ex-ante estimate
• ⚠Borehole AGB026 experienced a 30% capacity reduction and full breakdown (Feb 2024); borehole ASR017 had a 70% capacity reduction (Dec 2023–Apr 2024), undermining the permanence of claimed reductions
• ⚠Leakage deduction was reduced from 5% (PDD, 2023) to 0% (monitoring report, 2025) with only a 'deemed negligible' justification, contradicting the earlier quantified approach
• ⚠Lifetime ex-ante ERR is internally contradictory: 9,919 tCO₂e (PDD 2021) versus 49,595 tCO₂e (PDD 2020), a five-fold discrepancy
• ⚠No buffer pool percentage is stated in any available document, leaving reversal risk unmitigated

Credit Vintages