GS7591 VPA 10 Northern Uganda Safe Water Project

Audit Analysis

The Northern Uganda Safe Water Project (VPA 10) has confirmed additionality and no reversal events, but is beset by serious operational and compliance problems: the project is in non-compliance with its methodology's monitoring requirements, multiple deviation requests were denied, and issuance was suspended for non-compliance periods. The verified emissions reductions for a two-month monitoring period (237,039 tCO₂e) are roughly 38 times the pro-rata share of the lifetime ex-ante estimate (300,000 tCO₂e over ~8 years), raising a major over-crediting concern. Extensive borehole breakdowns, vandalism, and water-quality complaints further undermine confidence in the project's delivery.

Project Description

Red Flags

• ⚠Verified ERs of 237,039 tCO₂e for a 2-month period are ~38× the pro-rata expectation of ~6,250 tCO₂e derived from the 300,000 tCO₂e lifetime ex-ante estimate — a severe over-crediting signal
• ⚠Project is in non-compliance with methodology monitoring requirements (parameter SDWS 23); all deviation requests for this parameter were denied and issuance was suspended for non-compliance periods
• ⚠Multiple boreholes reported broken, vandalised, or abandoned (OYA115, OYA256, OYA257, KWA003/012/014/021), undermining the assumption that safe water is continuously available
• ⚠Leakage deduction is 0% with only a 'deemed negligible' justification, despite the project-specific baseline and the fact that displaced thermal energy use could shift to other locations
• ⚠Nine data contradictions across documents, including conflicting crediting-period dates, additionality status, fNRB method, and leakage justification

Credit Vintages

Issuance data not yet available — check back soon.