Guangdong Leiling Wind Power Project

Audit Analysis

The Guangdong Leiling Wind Power Project is a CDM-registered wind avoidance project validated by DNV with a confirmed combined additionality test and a jurisdictional baseline. However, a significant discrepancy between the ex-ante emissions reduction estimate (82,096 tCO₂ over 7 years) and the first monitoring period claim (55,665 tCO₂ over ~11 months) raises serious over-crediting concerns, as the claimed figure is roughly five times the pro-rata expectation. Several key data points (verified ERR, FN/RB method, CORSIA/CCP status) are absent from the extracted record, limiting full assessment.

Project Description

Red Flags

• ⚠The monitoring report claims 55,665 tCO₂ for an 11-month period, while the validation report's ex-ante estimate is 82,096 tCO₂ over the full 7-year crediting period — the claimed figure is approximately 5.2× the pro-rata expectation (~10,750 tCO₂), indicating a potential over-crediting risk.
• ⚠Baseline method is described as 'jurisdictional' in the monitoring report but as 'project-specific' in the validation report, creating ambiguity about the actual baseline construction.
• ⚠Total verified ERR for the monitoring period is not stated in the extracted record, preventing independent verification of the claimed figure.
• ⚠Leakage justification is inconsistent across documents: 'deemed negligible' in the monitoring report versus 'quantified' in an unidentified source document.

Credit Vintages