Guodian Youyu Laoqianshan Wind Farm Phase I 49.5MW Project

Audit Analysis

A 49.5 MW onshore wind project in China registered under CDM with a VVB-confirmed investment additionality test and a jurisdictional grid-emission-factor baseline. The first monitoring period shows roughly five times the pro-rata ex-ante expectation, suggesting a conservative initial estimate, but several contradictions between the validation and monitoring reports (baseline method, crediting-period dates, leakage treatment) and the absence of a verification report or later monitoring data limit confidence in the full crediting-period record.

Project Description

Red Flags

• ⚠The monitoring report records 38,875 tCO₂e for the first ~7.5 months while the validation report's ex-ante lifetime estimate is 87,720 tCO₂e over 7 years — a ~5× pro-rata over-delivery that, while conservative, warrants explanation of the ex-ante capacity-factor assumption.
• ⚠Five contradictions between the validation report and the monitoring report (leakage justification, additionality test type, ERR figure, baseline method, crediting-period dates) indicate inconsistent documentation across the project record.
• ⚠Only one monitoring period (May–Dec 2011) is available for a 7-year crediting period; no verification report or subsequent monitoring reports were found in the extracted record.

Credit Vintages