Guohua Inner Mongolia Suniteyouqi Phase I Wind Farm Project

Audit Analysis

A 50 MW wind farm in Inner Mongolia registered under CDM with VVB-confirmed additionality and a reasonable grid emission factor, but the project is undermined by a significant discrepancy between the ex-ante ERR estimate (107,857 tCO₂ in the validation report) and the monitoring-period figure (168,028 tCO₂ in the monitoring report), a contradiction in baseline methodology classification, and a 2014 monitoring report that leaves a large gap before the 2019 end of the crediting period.

Project Description

Red Flags

• ⚠ERR figures differ by ~56% between the validation report (107,857 tCO₂) and the monitoring report (168,028 tCO₂); if the monitoring figure covers only ~17.5 months while the validation figure covers the full 7-year crediting period, the project is delivering roughly 7× the ex-ante expectation, raising over-crediting concerns
• ⚠Baseline method is classified as 'project-specific' in the monitoring report but 'jurisdictional' in the validation report — a fundamental methodological inconsistency that affects the validity of the credit calculation
• ⚠No verified ERR figure (total_err_verified) was found in any available document, leaving the actual credit issuance unconfirmed
• ⚠The only monitoring report on file covers 2012-11 to 2014-04, leaving approximately 5.5 years of the 7-year crediting period (ending 2019-10) without documented monitoring

Credit Vintages