Guyuan 30.6MW Wind-farm Project

Audit Analysis

The Guyuan 30.6 MW wind project is a CDM avoidance-type project with a jurisdictional baseline and VVB-confirmed additionality, but it carries moderate data-reliability concerns from a contradiction in claimed ER figures across two monitoring reports and an unusual ratio where verified ERs (44,567) far exceed the claimed figure (12,207). Two material findings and the absence of a formal Letter of Approval from the Chinese DNA at the time of the monitoring report introduce compliance uncertainty. Overall the project is structurally sound for a wind-avoidance credit but the ERR discrepancy warrants caution before relying on the verified figure.

Project Description

Red Flags

• ⚠Contradiction in claimed ERs: 12,207 (monitoring report, 2012-12-31) vs 15,891 (monitoring report, 2012-11-01) — the more recent figure is privileged but the 31% gap signals internal inconsistency in the project's reporting.
• ⚠Verified ERs (44,567) are approximately 3.6× the claimed ERs (12,207) for what appears to be the same monitoring window, an unusual inversion that raises over-crediting or scope-mismatch questions.
• ⚠Corrective action noted: the project had not yet obtained the formal Letter of Approval (LoA) from the Chinese DNA at the time of the December 2012 monitoring report.
• ⚠Two material findings in the verification: Shandong Province omitted from the NCPG baseline boundary, and insufficient detail on NCV, oxidation factors, and baseline assumptions in the OM/BM.

Credit Vintages