Hengshui TEDA Gucheng Biomass-based Power Generation Project

Audit Analysis

A CDM biomass power generation project in China with a solid VVB-confirmed combined additionality test and no inherent permanence risk, but undermined by a project-specific baseline, a 0% leakage deduction with contradictory justifications across documents, and a significant discrepancy in the stated emission reduction figures between the PDD and validation report. The absence of any monitoring or verification reports in the available record limits confidence in actual delivery.

Project Description

Red Flags

• ⚠Total emission reduction figure differs by a factor of ~7 between the PDD (865,284 tCO2) and the validation report (123,612 tCO2); while the ratio matches the 7-year crediting period (suggesting annual vs. total), the documents are not internally consistent and no monitoring report confirms actual delivery.
• ⚠Leakage is set at 0% with the PDD stating it is 'deemed negligible' while the validation report does not explicitly address leakage at all, leaving the justification unsupported in the authoritative VVB document.
• ⚠Grid emission factor is 0.81145 in the validation report but 0.9803 in an earlier appendix; the lower (more conservative) value was privileged, but the discrepancy indicates inconsistent data handling.
• ⚠No monitoring reports, verification reports, or FNRB data are present in the extracted record, making it impossible to confirm whether the project actually delivered the claimed reductions.

Credit Vintages

No issuances recorded on the registry.