Selale HEPP

Audit Analysis

Selale HEPP is a small hydro project in Turkey with VVB-confirmed additionality and no material findings, but its baseline relies on a grid emission factor from 2007 that is now 18 years old, and the project delivered only about 41% of its pro-rata expected emissions reductions during the most recent monitoring period. Multiple contradictions across documents—particularly on baseline method, leakage justification, and the ex-ante ERR figure—reduce confidence in the data record, and the low extraction confidence further limits assurance.

Project Description

Red Flags

• ⚠Grid emission factor of 562 gCO2/kWh is sourced from 2007 data, making the baseline potentially 18 years out of date and the per-kWh avoidance claim uncertain
• ⚠The project delivered only ~41% of the pro-rata expected ERR for the 16-month monitoring period (17,567 tCO2e vs. ~43,200 tCO2e expected), suggesting the ex-ante estimate may be overly optimistic or the plant is underperforming
• ⚠Eight contradictions were identified across documents, including conflicting baseline method (project-specific vs. jurisdictional), leakage justification (quantified vs. deemed negligible), and two different lifetime ERR figures (221,172 vs. 256,984 tCO2e)
• ⚠Reversal/permanence risk is explicitly 'not addressed' in the 2025 verification report, and no buffer pool percentage is stated in any available document

Credit Vintages