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VCS avoidance Türkiye Registry: Registered Documentazione completa General Methodology v2.0

The Yokuslu- Kalkandere Hydroelectric Power Plant

VCS-905 ↗

6.2 / 10
Integrity
6.1
Transparency
6.4
Claim Safety
5.6
Documentation
7.2

Score Breakdown

Integrity

verified The validation/verification record indicates additionality was confirmed by the VVB using an investment test.

missing Baseline and quantification inputs show inconsistencies across documents (grid emission factor and ERR totals), and leakage is not robustly justified despite a 0% deduction.

Transparency

verified Key MRV elements are present (named VVB, monitoring period stated, and claimed equals verified ERs in the extracted record).

missing Conflicting figures across official documents (ERR totals, grid emission factor, crediting period) reduce transparency and traceability.

Claim Safety

verified Claimed and verified ERs match in the latest extracted figures, reducing immediate issuance mismatch risk.

missing CORSIA and CCP status are not stated in the extracted record, and contradictions in ER totals and grid EF increase over-crediting/marketing risk.

Documentation

verified A relatively complete document set is referenced (PDD, monitoring report, validation report, issuance) with high extraction confidence and 15 documents used.

missing Multiple corrective actions were required in the monitoring report, indicating documentation quality/control weaknesses.

Detailed Analysis

Integrity

The validation/verification record indicates additionality was confirmed by the VVB (RINA Services S.p.A.) using an investment test (validation/verification documentation referenced in the extracted record). The baseline is project-specific under ACM0002, and the baseline was last reassessed in 2022, which supports some ongoing validity. Integrity is weakened by inconsistent core quantification inputs across validation reports (different grid emission factors and different ER totals) and by leakage being set to a 0% deduction while the monitoring report does not address leakage justification.

Transparency

The monitoring report specifies a monitoring period of 2021-01-01 to 2023-06-30, and the extracted record shows claimed ERs equal verified ERs (172,937), which is a positive MRV signal. The VVB is clearly identified as RINA Services S.p.A., and multiple document types are referenced (PDD, monitoring report, validation report, issuance). Transparency is reduced by contradictions across official documents on key fields (ER totals, grid emission factor, crediting period, and safeguards/grievance statements), making it harder to reconcile what was actually applied.

Claim Safety

Over-crediting/claim risk is elevated because two validation reports provide materially different ER totals (172,937 vs 263,092) and different grid emission factors, which can materially change credited outcomes. Leakage treatment is also inconsistent: the monitoring report indicates leakage is not addressed while applying a 0% deduction, whereas a later validation report indicates leakage was quantified. CORSIA eligibility and CCP status are not stated in the extracted record, so buyers cannot easily assess alignment with higher-integrity claim frameworks.

Documentation

The extracted record references a reasonably complete evidence set (including PDD, monitoring report, validation report, and issuance) and indicates 15 documents were used with high extraction confidence. However, the 2023 monitoring report lists multiple corrective action requests (e.g., template use, date corrections, inclusion of safeguards/impact precautions, and stakeholder contact details), which suggests documentation and internal controls required significant fixes. These CARs reduce confidence that earlier versions were consistently prepared and reviewed.

Overall

I privilege the more recent documents where dates are provided (e.g., the 2023-12-04 validation report and the 2023-09-29 monitoring report) because they are later and likely reflect updated calculations/templates; this supports using 172,937 ERs and a grid emission factor of 0.4616 over the older 2022-11-01 values. However, the existence of large discrepancies in ER totals (172,937 vs 263,092), grid emission factor (0.4616 vs 0.559), and crediting period (2021–2030 vs 2011–2020) indicates material record inconsistency that must be resolved for high-confidence claims. Safeguards/grievance/FPIC also shift from absent in a 2012 monitoring report to present in later monitoring reports, which I treat as improved practice over time but still a transparency risk due to inconsistency.

Audit Analysis

This VCS hydropower project has VVB-confirmed additionality (investment test) and a recent monitoring period with matched claimed vs verified emission reductions in the extracted record. However, multiple cross-document inconsistencies (ERR totals, grid emission factor, crediting period, and safeguards/grievance statements) and weak leakage treatment reduce confidence and increase over-crediting/greenwashing risk.

Project Description

The Kalkandere Hydroelectric Project in Turkey's Eastern Blacksea Region created a greenfield hydroelectric power plant with a total installed capacity of 43,47MWm / 42,33MWe. The one weir and two run-of-river plants generate electricity by utilizing the 100.2 m of head between the existing Cevizlik HEPP and the upcoming Incirlik HEPP.

Red Flags

  • Two different validation reports report materially different total emission reductions (172,937 vs 263,092), indicating reliability issues in core quantification.
  • Leakage is treated as 0% in monitoring while leakage justification is not addressed, conflicting with another document stating leakage was quantified.
  • Crediting period dates conflict across monitoring reports (2011–2020 vs 2021–2030), creating uncertainty about eligibility and period boundaries.

Credit Vintages

Issued Retired Available
2011
77,328 72,330 4,998
2012
76,422 76,422 0
2013
81,614 81,614 0
2014
79,648 79,648 0
2015
86,742 86,742 0
2016
94,625 0 94,625
2017
90,881 0 90,881
2018
88,771 0 88,771
2019
73,834 0 73,834
2020
80,373 0 80,373
2021
58,363 0 58,363
2022
69,659 0 69,659
2023
44,915 0 44,915
Total 1,003,175 396,756 606,419

Cosa migliorerebbe questo punteggio

  • Publish a clear reconciliation note (or updated verification/monitoring annex) explaining why ER totals and grid emission factors differ across the 2022 and 2023 validation reports, and which values govern issuance.
  • Provide explicit leakage assessment consistent across PDD/validation/monitoring (even if concluded negligible) and document the rationale for a 0% leakage deduction.
  • Clarify and evidence the correct crediting period boundary (2011–2020 vs 2021–2030) and align all registry-facing documents accordingly.

Questi suggerimenti indicano quali prove pubbliche aggiuntive potrebbero migliorare il livello di confidenza di questa valutazione. Non garantiscono un punteggio futuro più alto.

Risk Indicators

Additionality

VVB-confirmed investment test

Permanence

Avoidance project; no reversals reported

Leakage

0% deduction but justification inconsistent

Baseline

Project-specific baseline; inputs inconsistent

Safeguards

Safeguards/FPIC reported later but inconsistent historically

Double-claim

CORSIA/CCP status not stated

Where to buy

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Analysis Provenance Scored 2026-04-02 General Methodology v2.0 Documentazione completa

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