XiCO2e: Mexican Reforestation Project
Score Breakdown
Integrity
verified VVB confirmed additionality and a combined additionality test reported in the verification report (verification report, 2025-02-14)
missing 23 findings (11 CLs, 12 CARs) were recorded during validation/verification, indicating issues that required corrective actions (verification report, 2025-02-14)
Transparency
verified Monitoring period (2017-11-01 — 2022-07-30) and verified issuance vs claimed ERR are provided (total ERR claimed 95,701; total verified 84,598) (verification report, 2025-02-14)
missing Key supporting docs are listed as 'unknown' and extraction confidence is low, and evidence documents are not publicly identified
Claim Safety
verified A 15% buffer allocation was applied, and leakage is reported as quantified in the latest verification (verification report, 2025-02-14)
missing Contradictory records on leakage (quantified vs deemed negligible) and additionality test type increase risk of over-claiming or inconsistent accounting
Documentation
verified Twelve documents were used and a recent verification report date is present (doc_date 2025-02-14)
missing Minimum extraction confidence is low and evidence document identifiers are not provided, reducing reproducibility
Detailed Analysis
Integrity
The verification report dated 2025-02-14 confirms additionality using a combined test and a VVB (AENOR), and the project applied a 15% buffer allocation using the VCS AFOLU Non-Permanence Risk Tool v4.0 (verification report, 2025-02-14). The baseline is project-specific (method AR-ACM0003), which is acceptable but less robust than a recent jurisdictional baseline. Material findings (23 total, including 12 CARs) were raised and stated as closed, which shows corrective action but indicates initial shortcomings in implementation or documentation.
Transparency
The monitoring period and both claimed and verified removals are reported (monitoring period 2017-11-01 — 2022-07-30; claimed 95,701 tCO2e; verified 84,598 tCO2e), supporting traceability (verification report, 2025-02-14). However, evidence documents are not named (listed as 'unknown') and the extraction confidence is low, reducing the ability of third parties to verify the record independently.
Claim Safety
A buffer pool of 15% and a quantified leakage justification in the latest verification reduce clear over-crediting risk; verified issuance (84,598 VCUs) appears conservative relative to claimed removals. Contradictions in leakage treatment (quantified vs deemed negligible) and in the type of additionality test introduce uncertainty about consistent application of conservative assumptions and could mask over- or under-crediting.
Documentation
Twelve documents were used and a recent verification report exists (2025-02-14), but minimum extraction confidence is low and evidence documents are not explicitly identified. The project shows a long crediting period stated in documents, but there are conflicting crediting-period entries across records. Corrective actions were required and reportedly closed, which supports procedural completeness but highlights prior deficiencies.
Overall
I privileged the values reported in the most recent verification report (doc_date 2025-02-14) where available because it is the latest authoritative VVB document in the record. Specifically: leakage treated as quantified, additionality reported as combined test, reversal events labeled 'not_addressed', and the crediting period matching the verification report were privileged. These choices were made because the verification report is the highest-priority source and most recent. The contradictions (1) leakage justification: quantified (2025-02-14) vs deemed negligible (2025-02-06); (2) additionality test type: combined (2025-02-06/14) vs barrier (2025-02-06); (3) reversal events: not addressed (2025-02-14) vs none reported (2025-02-06); (4) crediting period: two different date ranges reported across documents — were considered and reduce confidence. Taken together, the project shows moderate integrity but inconsistent documentation and conflicting entries reduce the overall score to 5.1. The low extraction confidence and anonymous evidence docs meaningfully lower transparency and documentation ratings.
Audit Analysis
The project shows several positive integrity features (VVB-confirmed additionality, 15% buffer allocation, quantified leakage in the latest verification), but document contradictions, multiple findings during verification, and low extraction confidence reduce overall reliability. Documentation and transparency are moderate but would benefit from clearer, consistent public documentation.
Project Description
Proponent: Multiple Proponents Protocol categories: Agriculture Forestry and Other Land Use Protocols: AR-ACM0003 Estimated annual GHG reductions: 3726 tCO2e Region: Latin America Registration date: 2025-02-14
Red Flags
- Contradictory entries across documents on leakage justification and additionality test type
- Low extraction confidence and 'evidence_docs' not specified
- Reversal treatment is inconsistently reported ('not_addressed' vs 'none_reported')
Credit Vintages
| Issued | Retired | Available | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 6,885 | 3,500 | 3,385 | |
| 2018 | 13,332 | 90 | 13,242 | |
| 2019 | 16,782 | 90 | 16,692 | |
| 2020 | 19,344 | 3,490 | 15,854 | |
| 2021 | 16,947 | 211 | 16,736 | |
| 2022 | 11,308 | 735 | 10,573 | |
| Total | 84,598 | 8,116 | 76,482 |
Cosa migliorerebbe questo punteggio
- Publish and link the specific evidence documents (monitoring and verification reports, PDD) so third parties can review assumptions and calculations
- Resolve contradictions across documents (explicitly reconcile leakage treatment, additionality test type, reversal treatment, and crediting period) and reissue a harmonized statement in the registry
Questi suggerimenti indicano quali prove pubbliche aggiuntive potrebbero migliorare il livello di confidenza di questa valutazione. Non garantiscono un punteggio futuro più alto.
Risk Indicators
VVB-confirmed
buffer applied; reversal unclear
quantified but contradictory
project baseline
FPIC and grievance present
CORSIA/CCP status unknown
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Registry Documents
issuance
Other
- Project Location.kml
- Ex ante GHG_LTA_assessment_04_24_vs8.xlsx
- Project_area_xico2e_mexican_reforestation_project_ID3342.kml
- 20240424_Non-Permanence-Risk-Report-XiCO2_vs7_ clean.pdf
- Registration-Representation-Multiple-PPs-v4.2 (1)_Forliance_Ala bool[38]_signed_vs1.pdf
- Ex post GHG_assessment_04_24_vs8.xlsx
pdd
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