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ICRSequestration / RemovalUGAR-ACM0003

Bright Future Africa - Vol.2 (Uganda)

ICR-93 ↗

#40of 80 in ARR (afforestation)#68of 154 in Intl. Carbon Registry (ICR)#65of 97 in AR-ACM0003

4.3/ 10
Integrity
4.5
Transparency
3.5
Claim Safety
5.0
Documentation
4.0

Audit Analysis

A new ICR sequestration project in Uganda with VVB-confirmed additionality but significant integrity concerns: the buffer pool is set at 10% versus the methodology's 45%, reversal events are marked as not addressed in the validation report, and leakage is deemed negligible with a 0% deduction. The project is in its first crediting period with no monitoring data yet, and multiple contradictions across documents (grievance mechanism, FPIC, CCP status, leakage justification) reduce confidence in the overall record.

Red Flags

  • Buffer pool set at 10% in the validation report while the methodology references 45% — a 4.5× gap that materially weakens permanence protection for a 45-year sequestration project
  • Reversal events marked as 'not addressed' in the validation report despite a quantitative risk assessment existing in the project's own detail section
  • Grievance mechanism status contradicts within the same validation report (true on 2025-01-29, false on 2025-01-30), leaving safeguards status unresolved
  • CCP eligibility is contradictory: the methodology does not mention it while an appendix states 'eligible', creating double-claim risk
  • 17 Corrective Action Requests were raised during validation, indicating substantial documentation and compliance gaps at the time of issuance

Credit Vintages

IssuedRetiredAvailable
2024
10,173010,173
2025
51,471051,471
2026
108,2880108,288
2027
186,4840186,484
2028
358,2270358,227
2029
641,4280641,428
2030
1,028,30301,028,303
2031
1,514,35201,514,352
2032
2,068,18702,068,187
2033
2,816,37202,816,372
2034
3,744,83803,744,838
2035
4,539,89704,539,897
2036
5,120,73105,120,731
2037
5,476,36505,476,365
2038
5,727,08405,727,084
2039
5,862,18405,862,184
2040
5,834,53405,834,534
2041
5,689,44405,689,444
2042
5,461,44805,461,448
2043
5,199,03605,199,036
2044
4,907,66504,907,665
2045
4,605,82004,605,820
2046
4,298,47504,298,475
2047
4,011,30904,011,309
2048
3,739,16403,739,164
2049
3,523,95603,523,956
2050
3,319,91203,319,912
2051
3,158,35903,158,359
2052
3,029,73403,029,734
2053
2,929,58702,929,587
2054
2,849,57602,849,576
2055
2,779,26402,779,264
2056
2,710,73602,710,736
2057
2,654,00802,654,008
2058
2,589,14902,589,149
2059
2,533,86702,533,867
2060
2,481,47402,481,474
2061
2,437,76702,437,767
2062
2,400,28002,400,280
2063
2,371,94602,371,946
2064
2,350,02402,350,024
2065
2,333,17402,333,174
2066
2,312,54902,312,549
2067
2,293,93902,293,939
2068
2,266,17002,266,170
2069
2,244,93602,244,936
Total138,571,6860138,571,686

Risk Indicators

Additionality

VVB-confirmed combined test

Permanence

10% buffer vs 45% methodology; reversal 'not addressed'

Leakage

0% deduction, deemed negligible for 45-yr sequestration

Baseline

Project-specific; no reassessment date stated

Safeguards

FPIC confirmed; grievance mechanism contradictory

Double-claim

CCP status contradictory; CORSIA not stated

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Analysis ProvenanceScored2026-09-02AR-ACM0003

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