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VCS avoidance Türkiye Vintage 2019 Registry: Registered Documentazione completa General Methodology v2.0

Dereli Hydroelectric Power Plant

VCS-1758 ↗

5.4 / 10
Integrity
5.2
Transparency
5.6
Claim Safety
4.8
Documentation
6.4

Score Breakdown

Integrity

verified Additionality is confirmed by the VVB (validation/verification documentation referenced in the extracted record).

missing Leakage is set to 0% but the monitoring documentation is inconsistent on whether leakage was assessed or justified.

Transparency

verified Monitoring period is clearly stated (2022-01-01 to 2024-01-09) and a specific grid emission factor is reported.

missing Key quantitative fields are missing or inconsistent in the extracted record (e.g., claimed ER not found; verified ER contradictory across documents).

Claim Safety

verified The project is explicitly not CORSIA-eligible, reducing aviation-claim channel risk.

missing Over-crediting risk is elevated by contradictory ER totals and changing grid emission factor values between the PDD and later validation.

Documentation

verified A relatively large document set was used (26 documents including PDD, monitoring report, validation report, and issuance) with high extraction confidence.

missing Multiple corrective action requests indicate documentation quality/control issues in the monitoring submission.

Detailed Analysis

Integrity

The validation/verification record indicates additionality was confirmed by the VVB, but the type of additionality test is inconsistent between documents (investment test in the 2015 validation report versus common practice in the 2022 monitoring report). Leakage is deducted at 0%, yet the monitoring reports conflict on whether leakage was assessed ("deemed negligible" in 2022 versus "not addressed" in 2024), which weakens baseline integrity for an avoidance project. No material findings are reported in the extracted record, but the number and nature of corrective action requests suggest MRV control weaknesses that can affect integrity.

Transparency

The monitoring period (2022-01-01—2024-01-09) and a grid emission factor value are provided, supporting basic MRV traceability. However, the total claimed emission reductions are not found in the extracted record, and the verified total is contradictory across validation documents, reducing transparency on what was actually checked and accepted. The monitoring report (2024-09-03) also required multiple corrective actions for inconsistencies with the registered project description and missing annex references, which undermines clarity and reproducibility.

Claim Safety

CORSIA eligibility is explicitly false, which lowers the risk of high-impact aviation claims. Nonetheless, over-crediting/greenwashing risk is increased by conflicting verified ER totals (132,934 in a 2024 validation document versus 41,737 in a 2022 validation document) and by the change in grid emission factor between the PDD (0.65716) and later validation (0.53323) without a clearly reconciled narrative in the extracted record. Leakage treatment is also inconsistent while remaining at 0%, which further elevates claim risk.

Documentation

The extracted record draws on a substantial evidence base (26 documents including PDD, monitoring report, validation report, and issuance) and the minimum extraction confidence is high, supporting a mid-to-strong documentation score. However, the monitoring report (2024-09-03) triggered multiple corrective action requests, including inconsistencies with the registered project description, missing annexes, and formatting/data presentation issues, indicating weaknesses in document quality control. Contradictions on safeguards/FPIC/grievance mechanism between monitoring and validation documents also reduce confidence in the completeness and consistency of the documentation trail.

Overall

Overall quality is moderate because core eligibility elements exist (VCS registration context, VVB involvement, defined monitoring period), but reliability is weakened by multiple cross-document contradictions. For leakage justification, the more recent 2024 monitoring report statement ("not addressed") is privileged over the 2022 monitoring report ("deemed negligible") because it is later and indicates an unresolved gap; this lowers integrity and claim safety. For safeguards/grievance/FPIC, the 2024 validation report statements (showing safeguards/grievance/FPIC as absent) are privileged over the monitoring report because validation is the higher-assurance assessment; this increases safeguards-related risk. For additionality test type, the 2015 validation report (investment test) is privileged over the 2022 monitoring report (common practice) because additionality is primarily established at validation; the inconsistency still reduces confidence. For verified ER totals, the higher 2024 validation figure (132,934) is privileged as the more recent value, but the discrepancy versus 2022 (41,737) is a major reliability red flag and materially depresses transparency and claim safety. For the grid emission factor, the later 2024 validation value (0.53323) is privileged over the 2015 PDD value (0.65716) as it is more recent, but the change without clear reconciliation adds uncertainty. For the crediting period, the monitoring report’s 2014–2024 period is privileged for the assessed monitoring window, while the 2025 validation report’s 2024–2034 period suggests a renewal/extension; the mismatch indicates timeline confusion and reduces documentation confidence.

Audit Analysis

This VCS hydropower project has VVB-confirmed additionality and a recent monitoring period, but several internal inconsistencies across documents weaken confidence in baseline/leakage treatment and reported results. Multiple corrective action requests and contradictory statements on safeguards and grievance mechanisms increase reputational and over-crediting risk.

Project Description

The Dereli Hydroelectric Power Plant in Turkey generates electricity from the renewable resource of the Aksu River, without creating harmful air pollutants or greenhouse gas emissions. By reducing the need for conventional thermal power plants, the project is expected to prevent the release of approximately 83,983 tons of CO2 equivalent emissions into the atmosphere each year.

Red Flags

  • Conflicting verified ER figures across validation documents (132,934 vs 41,737), creating uncertainty about the credited volume.
  • Leakage is taken as 0% while leakage treatment is inconsistent ("not addressed" vs "deemed negligible").
  • Safeguards, FPIC, and grievance mechanism are contradictory between monitoring and validation documents.
  • Monitoring report required multiple corrective actions for inconsistencies with the registered project description and missing annex/data presentation issues.

Credit Vintages

Issued Retired Available
2014
54,922 54,922 0
2015
72,038 72,038 0
2016
69,454 69,454 0
2017
64,698 64,698 0
2018
70,166 70,166 0
2019
63,300 40,650 22,650
2020
51,769 42,178 9,591
Total 446,347 414,106 32,241

Cosa migliorerebbe questo punteggio

  • Publish a reconciled ER accounting note that explains the difference between the 41,737 and 132,934 verified totals and clearly links each figure to the specific monitoring period and issuance event.
  • Provide a consistent, methodology-aligned leakage assessment (even if negligible) with explicit justification and references, and ensure the monitoring report matches the registered project description and includes all referenced annexes/data tables.

Questi suggerimenti indicano quali prove pubbliche aggiuntive potrebbero migliorare il livello di confidenza di questa valutazione. Non garantiscono un punteggio futuro più alto.

Risk Indicators

Additionality

VVB-confirmed, but test type inconsistent

Permanence

Avoidance project; no reversals indicated

Leakage

0% deduction with inconsistent justification

Baseline

Project-specific baseline; EF values vary

Safeguards

Safeguards/FPIC/grievance contradictory

Double-claim

Not CORSIA-eligible; CCP status not stated

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Analysis Provenance Scored 2026-04-02 General Methodology v2.0 Documentazione completa

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