Integrated Project for Reforestation and Agroforestry on Degraded lands in Nicaragua
Score Breakdown
Integrity
verified Buffer pool of 23% reported (issuance document, 2025) which provides material protection against reversals
missing Reversals are listed as not addressed and baseline reassessment date is not stated; earlier documents contradict additionality, indicating reliability issues
Transparency
verified VVB named as Carbon Check and monitoring period is provided (monitoring report 2021–03–02 — 2024–08–31)
missing Key MRV numbers (total ERR claimed/verified, leakage deduction percent, FNRB values) are not found in the extracted record
Claim Safety
missing Project is CCP-eligible (registry field) creating double-claiming risk
inferred Leakage justification is listed as quantified in a later document but earlier documents said leakage not addressed — mixed evidence on over-crediting risk
Documentation
verified Seventeen documents used and a recent issuance document dated 2025-12-19 exists
missing Evidence document names are redacted/unknown and extraction confidence is only medium, and several important fields are missing or contradictory
Detailed Analysis
Integrity
The verification/issuance documents report a 23% buffer pool and name Carbon Check as the VVB, and the 2025 documents assert additionality via a barrier test (issuance document, 2025). However, baseline is project-specific (method AR-ACM0003) and baseline reassessment date is not provided in the record. Reversal events are listed as not addressed in the extracted facts, and earlier documents (2020) reportedly stated additionality was not verified — these contradictions reduce confidence in baseline/additionality robustness and permanence protections.
Transparency
Some transparency is present: the VVB is identified, the monitoring period is stated (2021-03-02 to 2024-08-31), and the project uses an established AR methodology. But many MRV-critical values are missing from the extraction (total emissions reductions claimed/verified, leakage deduction percent, FNRB values, usage monitoring method). Extraction confidence is medium and evidence document names are unknown, limiting traceability.
Claim Safety
Double-claim risk is material: the project is listed as CCP-eligible which raises dual-issuance/claim concerns. Leakage treatment is inconsistent across documents — later documents claim leakage was quantified while earlier ones say it was not addressed — increasing over-crediting risk. No grid emission factor or usage monitoring details are available to check conservative assumptions.
Documentation
Seventeen documents were used and the most recent issuance document is dated December 2025, which is good recency. However, the record shows medium extraction confidence, evidence doc names are redacted as 'unknown', and there are multiple contradictions in core fields (additionality, leakage, benefit sharing, crediting period). VVB independence appears acceptable (Carbon Check) and no material findings or corrective actions were extracted.
Overall
I privileged the later 2025-document values where contradictions exist because they are more recent and include issuance/verification context (contradictions list: additionality verification — 2025 asserts verified vs 2020 not; leakage justification — 2025 quantified vs 2021 not addressed; additionality test type — 2025 barrier vs 2020 combined; benefit sharing — 2025 described vs 2025-12-10 not; crediting period — 2025-12-12 later date). Because of these contradictions and several missing MRV figures, scores were reduced to reflect data reliability concerns. Integrity remains moderate due to buffer protection and a named VVB, but permanence and leakage weaknesses and CCP eligibility pull overall quality down.
Audit Analysis
The project shows some positive elements (VVB named, 23% buffer pool, FPIC and grievance mechanism) but has notable gaps and contradictory records on additionality, leakage and benefit sharing. Project-specific baseline and unaddressed reversal reporting reduce confidence; double-claim risk is present because the project is CCP-eligible.
Project Description
Proponent: MLR Forestal de Nicaragua S.A. Protocol categories: Agriculture Forestry and Other Land Use Protocols: AR-ACM0003 Estimated annual GHG reductions: 29287 tCO2e Region: Latin America Registration date: 2022-05-02
Red Flags
- Contradictory evidence on whether additionality was verified (documents from 2020 vs 2025).
- Reversal events are not addressed in extracted records despite long multi-decade crediting period.
- Project is CCP-eligible (double-claim / double-registration risk).
Credit Vintages
| Issued | Retired | Available | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 15,912 | 13,256 | 2,656 | |
| 2021 | 11,509 | 7,819 | 3,690 | |
| 2022 | 13,703 | 1,000 | 12,703 | |
| 2023 | 13,595 | 1,300 | 12,295 | |
| 2024 | 9,063 | 0 | 9,063 | |
| Total | 63,782 | 23,375 | 40,407 |
Cosa migliorerebbe questo punteggio
- Publish/verifiably attach the MRV tables showing total ERR claimed and verified, leakage deduction percent, and FNRB values.
- Resolve and document contradictions by providing the definitive verification report(s) and baseline reassessment, and explicitly document reversal event management beyond buffer pool (e.g., monitoring for reversals and corrective plans).
Questi suggerimenti indicano quali prove pubbliche aggiuntive potrebbero migliorare il livello di confidenza di questa valutazione. Non garantiscono un punteggio futuro più alto.
Risk Indicators
verified but contradictory
buffer present; reversals unclear
quantified later but earlier not addressed
project-specific baseline
FPIC and grievance present
CCP-eligible (double-claim risk)
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