OYU - Reforesting Uganda for a better tomorrow

Audit Analysis

A small 37.3 ha reforestation project in Uganda with a 21% buffer pool and no reversal events, but the verification report surfaced 19 material findings and 19 corrective actions covering baseline justification, additionality accuracy, leakage treatment, and allometric equation validity. The project delivered roughly 39% of the pro-rata ex-ante expectation for the first monitoring period, which is within the expected range for young reforestation stands but warrants monitoring. Contradictions between the verification report and monitoring report on leakage treatment and additionality test type reduce confidence in the data record.

Project Description

Red Flags

• ⚠19 material findings and 19 corrective actions raised during verification, including insufficient baseline justification, inaccurate additionality analysis, and unjustified zero-baseline biomass assumptions
• ⚠Leakage treatment contradicts between documents: the verification report deems leakage negligible (0% deduction) while the 2024 monitoring report describes it as quantified
• ⚠Additionality test type is inconsistent across verification report versions (combined vs. barrier), raising questions about the robustness of the additionality case
• ⚠The project delivered only ~39% of the pro-rata ex-ante expectation for the first monitoring period (429,924 tCO₂e verified vs. ~1,101,000 tCO₂e expected), suggesting the lifetime estimate may be optimistic

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