Guangxi Baiduoshou Composting Project
#11of 202 in Industrial#43of 204 in China#142of 629 in Verra (VCS)#4of 12 in AMS-III.F
Audit Analysis
The Guangxi Baiduoshou Composting Project is a VCS AMS-III.F manure management project with a VVB-confirmed investment additionality test and an avoidance-based design that carries minimal permanence risk. However, the project-specific modeled baseline, a 0% leakage deduction with contradictory justifications across documents, and a significant discrepancy between the original PDD lifetime estimate (570,160 tCO₂e) and the monitoring-period verified figure (77,393 tCO₂e) introduce moderate uncertainty. The project delivered roughly 74% of the pro-rata expectation for the elapsed monitoring period, which is conservative and reduces over-crediting risk.
Red Flags
- The original PDD (Aug 2023) states a lifetime ERR of 570,160 tCO₂e while the updated PDD (Nov 2025) and verification report both cite 77,393 tCO₂e — a 7.4× discrepancy that, while likely reflecting different time bases (full 10-year crediting period vs. ~22-month monitoring period), signals a lack of clarity in how the ex-ante estimate was revised.
- Leakage justification is inconsistent: the monitoring report (Jan 2025) describes it as 'quantified' while the validation report (Jan 2025) describes it as 'deemed negligible,' and the deduction is 0% in both cases.
- Buffer pool percentage is not stated in any available document, leaving the permanence safeguard mechanism unquantified despite the project being an avoidance-type activity.
- Benefit-sharing description is contradictory: the validation report (Jan 2025) states it is not described, while the PDD (Nov 2025) states it is described.
Credit Vintages
No issuances recorded on the registry.
Risk Indicators
VVB-confirmed investment test
Avoidance project, no reversal risk
0% deduction, justification inconsistent across docs
Project-specific modeled, no reassessment date
FPIC, grievance mechanism, safeguards documented
CORSIA and CCP status not stated
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