Sichuan Muchuan County Huogu Hydropower Project
Score Breakdown
Integrity
verified Additionality is confirmed by the VVB using an investment test (monitoring report, 2021-07-30).
missing Leakage is not addressed and no leakage deduction is evidenced in the extracted record (monitoring report, 2021-07-30).
Transparency
verified Key MRV elements are present, including VVB name and a defined monitoring period with verified ERs reported (monitoring report, 2021-07-30).
missing Claimed ERs differ substantially from verified ERs, reducing confidence in reported outcomes (monitoring report, 2021-07-30).
Claim Safety
missing CORSIA eligibility and CCP status are not stated in available documents, leaving uncertainty on downstream claim constraints.
missing Over-crediting/greenwashing risk is elevated by the large claimed-versus-verified ER discrepancy (monitoring report, 2021-07-30).
Documentation
verified Core documents are available (PDD, validation report, monitoring report) with high extraction confidence.
missing Multiple cross-document inconsistencies (safeguards and crediting period dates) reduce reliability of the record.
Detailed Analysis
Integrity
The project applies CDM methodology ACM0002 with a project-specific baseline approach, and additionality is confirmed by the VVB via an investment test (monitoring report, 2021-07-30). However, leakage is explicitly not addressed in the monitoring report and no leakage deduction is evidenced, which is a material integrity gap for a grid-connected renewable project type where leakage should at least be screened and justified (monitoring report, 2021-07-30). The timing of baseline reassessment is not stated in the extracted record, limiting confidence that baseline parameters remained appropriate over the crediting period.
Transparency
The monitoring report provides a clear monitoring period (2016-05-26 to 2019-07-24), identifies the VVB (ERM Certification and Verification Services), and reports both claimed and verified emission reductions (monitoring report, 2021-07-30). Transparency is weakened by the sizable difference between claimed (446,639) and verified (367,633) ERs, which suggests either calculation changes or data issues that are not explained in the extracted record (monitoring report, 2021-07-30). Key supporting details such as the year of the grid emission factor and the baseline reassessment date are not found in the extracted record.
Claim Safety
The project shows a meaningful reduction from claimed to verified ERs (446,639 to 367,633), which increases perceived over-crediting risk for buyers relying on headline numbers (monitoring report, 2021-07-30). CORSIA eligibility and CCP status are not stated in available documents, so buyers cannot easily assess whether credits may be used in higher-scrutiny channels or face additional restrictions. Leakage is not addressed, which further increases the risk that credited reductions could be overstated relative to a fully justified accounting boundary (monitoring report, 2021-07-30).
Documentation
Documentation coverage is reasonably strong with three core document types available (PDD, validation report, monitoring report) and high extraction confidence. No material findings or corrective actions are reported in the monitoring report, which supports procedural completeness for that issuance cycle (monitoring report, 2021-07-30). Nonetheless, multiple contradictions across documents (safeguards/FPIC/grievance/benefit-sharing and crediting period dates) reduce confidence that key non-quantitative disclosures are consistently maintained over time.
Overall
Overall quality is moderate: additionality is VVB-confirmed and MRV outputs are reported, but leakage treatment and baseline reassessment timing are not evidenced, and the claimed-versus-verified ER gap is large (monitoring report, 2021-07-30). Contradictions were handled conservatively by privileging the more recent monitoring report (2021-07-30) over older PDD/validation statements for safeguards/FPIC/grievance/benefit-sharing, because it is the latest operational-period disclosure; this lowers safeguards confidence due to inconsistency rather than assuming either version is fully correct. For the crediting period discrepancy, the monitoring report’s dates (2012-07-25 to 2019-07-24) were privileged as the later document likely reflecting the registered/implemented crediting period, but the inconsistency still reduces documentation reliability and slightly depresses integrity and transparency scores.
Audit Analysis
This CDM hydropower project has VVB-confirmed additionality and uses an established CDM methodology (ACM0002), but key integrity elements like leakage treatment and baseline reassessment timing are not clearly evidenced in the extracted record. Social safeguards information is inconsistent across documents, and the claimed versus verified emission reductions differ materially, increasing over-crediting and reputational risk.
Project Description
Name of the project: Sichuan Muchuan County Huogu Hydropower Project Location: Lidian Town, Muchuan County, Leshan City, Sichuan Province, China Impact: Carbon Offset and Renewable Energy Generation Project Description: The Sichuan Muchuan County Huogu Hydropower Project, situated in Lidian Town, Muchuan County, Leshan City, Sichuan Province, China, is implemented by Sichuan Muchuan County Qixing Huogu Hydropower Development Co., Ltd. Prior to its initiation, electricity was supplied to the grid by existing thermal power plants connected to the Central China Power Grid (CCPG). The project aims to generate zero-carbon electricity through hydropower, utilizing two turbine-generator sets with a combined capacity of 40MW. The electricity generated is transmitted to the CCPG through the Sichuan provincial grid. With an anticipated annual operation of 4982 hours and a Plant Load Factor of 56.8%, the project includes essential components such as a river dam, factory buildings, and a substation. Why you should support this project? Reducing fossil fuel dependence: The project decreases the reliance of the CCPG on exhaustible fossil fuels for power generation. Air pollution reduction: By replacing fossil fuel-based electricity with clean, renewable power, the project helps reduce air pollution, improving air quality and human health. Local infrastructure enhancement: It enhances the local energy generation infrastructure and bridges the gap between power supply and demand by increasing electricity generation capacity for the local grid. Job creation: The project has provided 27 job opportunities throughout the operating period, which helps enhance the living standards of the local population.
Red Flags
- Leakage is not addressed in the monitoring report, with no leakage deduction stated.
- Large gap between claimed and verified emission reductions (446,639 claimed vs 367,633 verified) indicates MRV/quantification risk.
- Safeguards/FPIC/grievance/benefit-sharing are contradictory between the PDD/validation report and the monitoring report.
- Crediting period dates conflict between the validation report and the monitoring report.
Credit Vintages
| Issued | Retired | Available | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 377,562 | 0 | 377,562 | |
| 2022 | 367,087 | 0 | 367,087 | |
| Total | 744,649 | 0 | 744,649 |
Cosa migliorerebbe questo punteggio
- Provide explicit leakage screening and justification (and any deduction, if applicable) in the monitoring/verification documentation.
- Publish a clear explanation for the claimed-versus-verified ER difference, including which parameters or data sources changed and why.
Questi suggerimenti indicano quali prove pubbliche aggiuntive potrebbero migliorare il livello di confidenza di questa valutazione. Non garantiscono un punteggio futuro più alto.
Risk Indicators
VVB-confirmed investment test
Avoidance project; no reversal risk evidenced
Leakage not addressed; deduction not evidenced
Project-specific baseline; reassessment timing unclear
Safeguards/FPIC/grievance inconsistent across documents
CORSIA/CCP status not stated
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