Jiangxi Province Le'An County Forest Farm Carbon Sink Project

Integrity

The later verification record supports additionality through an investment test and says the VVB confirmed it, which is a meaningful positive. The project also has a 23% buffer pool and reports no reversal events, but the baseline is project-specific rather than clearly reassessed, and the file contains contradictions on additionality, leakage, and reversal treatment. Because the authoritative registry status is rejected by the administrator, integrity confidence is reduced further.

Transparency

The extracted record identifies the VVB, methodology, monitoring period, and a verified emissions reduction total, which helps transparency. But the claimed ER total is not found, usage monitoring is not stated, and several other MRV details are missing from the available documents. The medium extraction confidence is acceptable, but the documentation is still incomplete for a high transparency score.

Claim Safety

Claim safety is weakened by the rejected registry status and by the large mismatch in verified ER totals across documents, with the later record showing 616,168 versus an earlier 90,546. Leakage is treated as quantified in the later record, which is better than an unaddressed zero deduction, but the contradiction with an earlier 0.7% leakage figure still creates uncertainty. The project is not CORSIA-eligible, which lowers dual-market concern, but the overall over-crediting risk remains material.

Documentation

Nineteen documents were used and the extraction confidence is medium, so the record is not thin. Even so, several important fields are missing or not stated, including claimed ERs, usage monitoring, and baseline reassessment timing. The contradictions across documents also indicate that the documentation set is not fully coherent, which limits the score.

Overall

I privileged the later verification record dated 2017-02-28 for additionality, safeguards, leakage, reversal status, and verified ERs because it is more recent and appears to be the stronger verification source than the earlier documents. That said, the contradictions are significant: additionality flips from false to true, safeguards from absent to present, leakage from 0.7% to 0%, reversal treatment from not addressed to none reported, and verified ER totals from 90,546 to 616,168. The authoritative registry status is rejected by the administrator, so despite some positive project-level evidence, the overall reliability and claim safety remain only moderate.