BERGAMA INTEGRATED SOLID WASTE MANAGEMENT FACILITY AND ELECTRICITY GENERATION FACILITY

Audit Analysis

The Bergama waste-to-energy project in Turkey has a VVB-confirmed combined additionality test and a measured baseline, but suffers from four inter-document contradictions, an unaddressed permanence framework, and a significant gap between the PDD's ex-ante estimate (1.38 M tCO₂e) and the verified figure (153 k tCO₂e) for the same crediting period. The project is under-delivering relative to its initial projections, which reduces over-crediting risk but raises questions about the robustness of the original design assumptions.

Project Description

Red Flags

• ⚠Four contradictions between documents, including FPIC status (true vs false across two validation reports), baseline characterisation (measured vs modeled), total ERR (1,378,074 vs 152,852), and leakage justification (quantified vs not addressed)
• ⚠Reversal/permanence risk explicitly 'not addressed' and no buffer pool percentage stated in any available document
• ⚠Verified ERR of 152,852 tCO₂e represents only ~11% of the PDD's ex-ante estimate of 1,378,074 tCO₂e for the same crediting period (2020-10-31 to 2023-01-31), indicating the original projections were highly optimistic
• ⚠Installed capacity inconsistency (9.898 MWe vs 8.4 MWe) required clarification during verification, suggesting initial data quality issues

Credit Vintages

No issuances recorded on the registry.